Tokushima Vortis vs Shonan Bellmare — J2 League
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Tokushima Vortis and Shonan Bellmare meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Tokushima Vortis have recorded 17 wins from 36 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Shonan Bellmare have won 38% of their 37 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for Tokushima Vortis and 1.20 for Shonan Bellmare. The models give Tokushima Vortis a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Shonan Bellmare win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Tokushima Vortis—
Shonan Bellmare9º
Position
3º
1.31
PPG
1.56
38%
Win %
44%
0.85
Goals / game
1.39
1.00
Conceded / game
1.06
36%
BTTS %
62%
50%
Clean sheet %
27%
58%
Over 2.5 %
41%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tokushima Vortis
Home (6)
—
Shonan Bellmare
Away (9)
1.67
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
56%
1.00
Goals / game
1.78
0.50
Conceded / game
1.33
33%
BTTS %
62%
56%
Clean sheet %
29%
56%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tokushima Vortis | Home | Away | Shonan Bellmare | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 83% | 72% | 86% | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 39% | 28% | 24% | 13% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 28% | 17% | 14% | 6% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 17% | 28% | 14% | 13% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Tokushima Vortis | Home | Away | Shonan Bellmare | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 44% | 56% | 73% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 22% | 50% | 27% | 38% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 6% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 56% | 44% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tokushima Vortis | Shonan Bellmare | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 5% |
| BTTS | 36% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 32% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tokushima Vortis | Shonan Bellmare | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 34% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Tokushima Vortis (H)L
Vanraure Hachinohe0–1
Vanraure Hachinohe0–1L
Imabari1–2
Imabari1–2W
Tochigi City3–0
Tochigi City3–0W
Iwaki1–0
Iwaki1–0W
Oita Trinita1–0
Oita Trinita1–0W
FC Tokushima3–0
FC Tokushima3–0Shonan Bellmare (A)D
Kataller Toyama1–1
Kataller Toyama1–1L
FC Tokyo0–4
FC Tokyo0–4D
Fujieda MYFC1–1
Fujieda MYFC1–1WImabari2–1
Imabari2–1WVanraure Hachinohe1–0
Vanraure Hachinohe1–0D
Matsumoto Yamaga3–3
Matsumoto Yamaga3–3Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Tokushima Vortis
13%
4
Draws
50%
3
Shonan Bellmare
38%
50%
Over 1.5
4/8
13%
Over 2.5
1/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
25%
BTTS
2/8
27/11/21Tokushima Vortis
Shonan Bellmare
0–1Tokushima Vortis30/05/21Shonan Bellmare
Tokushima Vortis
1–1Shonan Bellmare14/12/19Tokushima Vortis
Shonan Bellmare
1–1Tokushima Vortis29/07/17Tokushima Vortis
Shonan Bellmare
2–0Tokushima Vortis10/06/17Shonan Bellmare
Tokushima Vortis
0–1Shonan Bellmare22/09/16Tokushima Vortis
Shonan Bellmare
4–0Tokushima Vortis22/08/12Shonan Bellmare
Tokushima Vortis
0–0Shonan Bellmare27/05/12Tokushima Vortis
Shonan Bellmare
0–0Tokushima Vortis| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 |  Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 |  Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 |  Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 |  Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 |  Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 |  Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 |  Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Tokushima Vortis- ●Tokushima Vortis have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●77% of Tokushima Vortis's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Shonan Bellmare- ●Shonan Bellmare have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of Shonan Bellmare's goals have been scored away.
- ●68% of Shonan Bellmare's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Tokushima VortisWAFujieda MYFC1–0
Fujieda MYFC1–0LHVanraure Hachinohe0–1
Vanraure Hachinohe0–1DAVegalta Sendai0–0
Vegalta Sendai0–0LHImabari1–2
Imabari1–2LAAlbirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2WHTochigi City3–0
Tochigi City3–0–HYokohama FC31/10
Yokohama FC31/10–AMontedio Yamagata03/11
Montedio Yamagata03/11–HTegevajaro Miyazaki07/11
Tegevajaro Miyazaki07/11Shonan BellmareDHIwaki1–1
Iwaki1–1DAKataller Toyama1–1
Kataller Toyama1–1DHAlbirex Niigata1–1
Albirex Niigata1–1DAFujieda MYFC1–1
Fujieda MYFC1–1WAImabari2–1
Imabari2–1DHBlaublitz Akita1–1
Blaublitz Akita1–1–AConsadole Sapporo31/10
Consadole Sapporo31/10–HSagan Tosu03/11
Sagan Tosu03/11–AJubilo Iwata08/11
Jubilo Iwata08/11Top Scorers
Tokushima VortisLucas Barcelos11 ⚽
Thonny Anderson8 ⚽
Y. Takagi7 ⚽
Y. Kajiya5 ⚽
J. Miyazaki5 ⚽
T. Sugimoto5 ⚽
Shonan BellmareH. Yamada12 ⚽
H. Okuno6 ⚽
T. Nishino4 ⚽
K. Watanabe3 ⚽
H. Ishii2 ⚽
H. Matsumura2 ⚽
Cards Given
Tokushima VortisThonny Anderson8 🟨
Lucas Barcelos5 🟨
N. Kanuma5 🟨
Kaique4 🟨
K. Iwao4 🟨
J. Miyazaki3 🟨
Shonan BellmareArthur Feitoza6 🟨
K. Watanabe6 🟨
M. Ikeda5 🟨
S. Takeda4 🟨
K. Onose4 🟨
Y. Fukazawa4 🟨