Tochigi City vs Albirex Niigata — J2 League
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Tochigi City and Albirex Niigata meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Tochigi City have recorded 11 wins from 37 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Albirex Niigata have won 49% of their 37 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Tochigi City and 1.58 for Albirex Niigata. The models give Tochigi City a 39% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Albirex Niigata win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Tochigi City | Home | Away | Albirex Niigata | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 83% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 44% | 35% | 43% | 55% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 17% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 17% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 41% |
Goals Conceded
| Tochigi City | Home | Away | Albirex Niigata | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 83% | 80% | 68% | 65% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 56% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 28% | 20% | 16% | 15% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 17% | 20% | 32% | 35% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tochigi City | Albirex Niigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 14% |
| BTTS | 61% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tochigi City | Albirex Niigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 49% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 49% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 51% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 49% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 | |
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 | |
| 1 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 | |
| 1 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 | |
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 | |
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 | |
| 2 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 | |
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 | |
| 3 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 | |
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 | |
| 3 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 | |
| 3 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 | |
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 | |
| 4 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 | |
| 4 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 | |
| 4 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 | |
| 5 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 | |
| 5 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 | |
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 | |
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 | |
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 | |
| 6 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 | |
| 6 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 | |
| 6 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 | |
| 7 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 | |
| 7 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 | |
| 7 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 | |
| 7 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 | |
| 8 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 | |
| 8 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 | |
| 8 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 | |
| 8 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 | |
| 9 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 | |
| 9 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 | |
| 9 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 | |
| 9 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 | |
| 10 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 | |
| 10 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 | |
| 10 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 | |
| 10 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
- ●Tochigi City have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Tochigi City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Tochigi City have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Tochigi City have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tochigi City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tochigi City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tochigi City have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Albirex Niigata have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have won their last 7 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Albirex Niigata's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Albirex Niigata's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●81% of Albirex Niigata's points have been earned at home.