Oita Trinita vs Tochigi City — J2 League
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Oita Trinita and Tochigi City meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Oita Trinita have recorded 13 wins from 38 matches this season (34% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.03 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Tochigi City have won 29% of their 38 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 66%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Oita Trinita and 1.08 for Tochigi City. The models give Oita Trinita a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Tochigi City win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Oita Trinita—
Tochigi City7º
Position
8º
1.50
PPG
1.06
33%
Win %
28%
1.33
Goals / game
1.11
0.75
Conceded / game
1.83
42%
BTTS %
61%
39%
Clean sheet %
18%
37%
Over 2.5 %
66%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Oita Trinita
Home (6)
—
Tochigi City
Away (9)
1.83
PPG
1.11
50%
Win %
33%
2.17
Goals / game
0.89
1.00
Conceded / game
1.89
53%
BTTS %
50%
32%
Clean sheet %
20%
37%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Oita Trinita | Home | Away | Tochigi City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 66% | 79% | 53% | 71% | 83% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 42% | 21% | 39% | 44% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 17% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 34% | 21% | 47% | 29% | 17% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Oita Trinita | Home | Away | Tochigi City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 68% | 53% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 21% | 32% | 47% | 56% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 11% | 16% | 24% | 28% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 32% | 47% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Oita Trinita | Tochigi City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 18% |
| BTTS | 42% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Oita Trinita | Tochigi City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 49% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 51% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 51% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 49% |
Recent Venue Form
Oita Trinita (H)D
Ventforet Kofu1–1
Ventforet Kofu1–1W
Albirex Niigata5–1
Albirex Niigata5–1W
Montedio Yamagata2–1
Montedio Yamagata2–1D
Fujieda MYFC1–1
Fujieda MYFC1–1D
Imabari1–1
Imabari1–1W
Iwaki4–1
Iwaki4–1Tochigi City (A)L
Shonan Bellmare1–2
Shonan Bellmare1–2LVentforet Kofu1–2
Ventforet Kofu1–2L
Tokushima Vortis0–3
Tokushima Vortis0–3L
Machida Zelvia1–2
Machida Zelvia1–2D
Kataller Toyama0–0
Kataller Toyama0–0W
Consadole Sapporo4–1
Consadole Sapporo4–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 |  Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 | Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 |  Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 | Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 |  Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 |  Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 |  Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Oita Trinita- ●Oita Trinita have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Oita Trinita failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Oita Trinita failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●82% of Oita Trinita's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Oita Trinita's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Tochigi City- ●Tochigi City have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Tochigi City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Tochigi City have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Tochigi City have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tochigi City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tochigi City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tochigi City have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Oita TrinitaDHVentforet Kofu1–1
Ventforet Kofu1–1DAJubilo Iwata0–0
Jubilo Iwata0–0WHAlbirex Niigata5–1
Albirex Niigata5–1WAYokohama FC2–1
Yokohama FC2–1WHMontedio Yamagata2–1
Montedio Yamagata2–1DHFujieda MYFC1–1
Fujieda MYFC1–1–ATegevajaro Miyazaki31/10
Tegevajaro Miyazaki31/10–HVanraure Hachinohe03/11
Vanraure Hachinohe03/11–ABlaublitz Akita07/11
Blaublitz Akita07/11Tochigi CityLAShonan Bellmare1–2
Shonan Bellmare1–2DHFujieda MYFC2–2
Fujieda MYFC2–2DHYokohama FC1–1
Yokohama FC1–1LAVentforet Kofu1–2
Ventforet Kofu1–2LHImabari1–2
Imabari1–2LATokushima Vortis0–3
Tokushima Vortis0–3–HIwaki31/10
Iwaki31/10–ATegevajaro Miyazaki03/11
Tegevajaro Miyazaki03/11–HOmiya Ardija08/11
Omiya Ardija08/11Top Scorers
Oita TrinitaKim Hyun-woo6 ⚽
S. Utsumoto6 ⚽
K. Arima5 ⚽
Patrick Verhon3 ⚽
M. Kimoto3 ⚽
Y. Nishimura3 ⚽
Tochigi CityK. Yamashita7 ⚽
Y. Koike6 ⚽
A. Yoshida6 ⚽
P. Tanaka4 ⚽
K. Nishiya4 ⚽
K. Saito3 ⚽
Cards Given
Oita TrinitaMatheus Pereira7 🟨
T. Kimoto4 🟨
M. Kimoto3 🟨
Y. Misao3 🟨
I. Oda3 🟨
Y. Nishimura3 🟨
Tochigi CityPedro Augusto9 🟨
H. Teruyama9 🟨
T. Inui7 🟨
M. Hiraoka5 🟨
R. Okui5 🟨
A. Simmons3 🟨