Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis — J2 League
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Montedio Yamagata and Tokushima Vortis meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Montedio Yamagata have recorded 12 wins from 37 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Tokushima Vortis have won 47% of their 36 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.17 for Tokushima Vortis. The models give Montedio Yamagata a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Tokushima Vortis win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Montedio Yamagata—
Tokushima Vortis7º
Position
9º
1.11
PPG
1.31
33%
Win %
38%
1.11
Goals / game
0.85
1.39
Conceded / game
1.00
43%
BTTS %
36%
24%
Clean sheet %
50%
46%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Montedio Yamagata
Home (9)
—
Tokushima Vortis
Away (7)
1.11
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
29%
1.22
Goals / game
0.71
1.33
Conceded / game
1.43
45%
BTTS %
39%
25%
Clean sheet %
44%
45%
Over 2.5 %
61%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Montedio Yamagata | Home | Away | Tokushima Vortis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 70% | 59% | 78% | 83% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 35% | 29% | 33% | 39% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 10% | 12% | 22% | 28% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 30% | 41% | 22% | 17% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| Montedio Yamagata | Home | Away | Tokushima Vortis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 75% | 76% | 50% | 44% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 55% | 35% | 36% | 22% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 25% | 24% | 50% | 56% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Montedio Yamagata | Tokushima Vortis | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 14% |
| BTTS | 43% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Montedio Yamagata | Tokushima Vortis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 16% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 49% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Montedio Yamagata (H)L
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–2L
Consadole Sapporo0–2
Consadole Sapporo0–2L
Vegalta Sendai0–1
Vegalta Sendai0–1L
Yokohama F. Marinos1–2
Yokohama F. Marinos1–2W
Sagan Tosu2–0
Sagan Tosu2–0L
Kataller Toyama0–2
Kataller Toyama0–2Tokushima Vortis (A)W
Fujieda MYFC1–0
Fujieda MYFC1–0DVegalta Sendai0–0
Vegalta Sendai0–0L
Albirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2L
Gamba Osaka0–5
Gamba Osaka0–5W
Ventforet Kofu1–0
Ventforet Kofu1–0L
Blaublitz Akita1–4
Blaublitz Akita1–4Head to Head · 23 matches
7
Montedio Yamagata
30%
8
Draws
35%
8
Tokushima Vortis
35%
61%
Over 1.5
14/23
48%
Over 2.5
11/23
35%
Over 3.5
8/23
57%
BTTS
13/23
23/08/25Montedio Yamagata
Tokushima Vortis
1–0Montedio Yamagata23/03/25Tokushima Vortis
Montedio Yamagata
0–0Tokushima Vortis11/08/24Tokushima Vortis
Montedio Yamagata
1–0Tokushima Vortis28/04/24Montedio Yamagata
Tokushima Vortis
2–1Montedio Yamagata01/10/23Tokushima Vortis
Montedio Yamagata
0–1Tokushima Vortis17/06/23Montedio Yamagata
Tokushima Vortis
1–1Montedio Yamagata23/10/22Tokushima Vortis
Montedio Yamagata
3–0Tokushima Vortis27/04/22Montedio Yamagata
Tokushima Vortis
0–1Montedio Yamagata15/11/20Tokushima Vortis
Montedio Yamagata
0–1Tokushima Vortis02/08/20Montedio Yamagata
Tokushima Vortis
1–0Montedio Yamagata08/12/19Montedio Yamagata
Tokushima Vortis
1–0Montedio Yamagata27/07/19Tokushima Vortis
Montedio Yamagata
3–1Tokushima Vortis19/05/19Montedio Yamagata
Tokushima Vortis
1–1Montedio Yamagata18/08/18Montedio Yamagata
Tokushima Vortis
5–1Montedio Yamagata23/06/18Tokushima Vortis
Montedio Yamagata
3–2Tokushima Vortis26/08/17Montedio Yamagata
Tokushima Vortis
1–1Montedio Yamagata25/06/17Tokushima Vortis
Montedio Yamagata
1–6Tokushima Vortis18/09/16Tokushima Vortis
Montedio Yamagata
2–1Tokushima Vortis13/03/16Montedio Yamagata
Tokushima Vortis
2–2Montedio Yamagata16/09/13Montedio Yamagata
Tokushima Vortis
2–2Montedio Yamagata| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 | Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 | Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 | Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 |  Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |  Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 |  Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 |  Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 |  Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Montedio Yamagata- ●Montedio Yamagata have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Montedio Yamagata have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Montedio Yamagata have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●64% of Montedio Yamagata's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Montedio Yamagata's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Tokushima Vortis- ●Tokushima Vortis have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●77% of Tokushima Vortis's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Montedio YamagataLHTegevajaro Miyazaki0–2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–2LHConsadole Sapporo0–2
Consadole Sapporo0–2DAFujieda MYFC0–0
Fujieda MYFC0–0LHVegalta Sendai0–1
Vegalta Sendai0–1LAOita Trinita1–2
Oita Trinita1–2WHSagan Tosu2–0
Sagan Tosu2–0–AVanraure Hachinohe31/10
Vanraure Hachinohe31/10–HTokushima Vortis03/11
Tokushima Vortis03/11–AIwaki07/11
Iwaki07/11Tokushima VortisWAFujieda MYFC1–0
Fujieda MYFC1–0LHVanraure Hachinohe0–1
Vanraure Hachinohe0–1DAVegalta Sendai0–0
Vegalta Sendai0–0LHImabari1–2
Imabari1–2LAAlbirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2WHTochigi City3–0
Tochigi City3–0–HYokohama FC31/10
Yokohama FC31/10–AMontedio Yamagata03/11
Montedio Yamagata03/11–HTegevajaro Miyazaki07/11
Tegevajaro Miyazaki07/11Top Scorers
Montedio YamagataJ. Takahashi10 ⚽
A. S. Disaro4 ⚽
T. Terayama3 ⚽
R. Kida3 ⚽
K. Mori2 ⚽
R. Yokoyama2 ⚽
Tokushima VortisLucas Barcelos11 ⚽
Thonny Anderson8 ⚽
Y. Takagi7 ⚽
Y. Kajiya5 ⚽
J. Miyazaki5 ⚽
T. Sugimoto5 ⚽
Cards Given
Montedio YamagataR. Nakamura6 🟨
A. S. Disaro6 🟨
K. Yanagimachi4 🟨
K. Nishimura4 🟨
J. Takahashi3 🟨
K. Sakamoto3 🟨
Tokushima VortisThonny Anderson8 🟨
Lucas Barcelos5 🟨
N. Kanuma5 🟨
Kaique4 🟨
K. Iwao4 🟨
J. Miyazaki3 🟨