Castro Daire vs Machico — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Castro Daire and Machico meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Castro Daire have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Machico have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.95 for Castro Daire and 1.08 for Machico. The models give Castro Daire a 33% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Machico win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 41%.
Season Statistics
Castro DaireMachicoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Castro Daire | Home | Away | Machico | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 40% | 100% | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 20% | 0% | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 60% | 0% | 30% | 50% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Castro Daire | Home | Away | Machico | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 60% | 67% | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 20% | 33% | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 40% | 33% | 60% | 75% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Castro Daire | Machico | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 38% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Castro Daire | Machico | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 63% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 22% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 11% |
Recent Venue Form
Castro Daire (H)
Florgrade1–1
Salgueiros0–0
Estrela Calheta3–0
Portimonense0–1
Ovarense0–2
Anadia1–2Machico (A)
Guarda1–0
Alpendorada2–1Salgueiros1–1
Beira-Mar2–0
Maritimo0–0
Nacional2–1Head to Head · 2 matches
MachicoCastro Daire| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ovarense | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | Machico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  Camacha | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 | Florgrade | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 |  Sanjoanense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 6 | Castro Daire | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Salgueiros | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  União Lamas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Beira-Mar | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Cinfães | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Estrela Calheta | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Alpendorada | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Guarda | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 |  Sousense | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
Castro Daire- ●Castro Daire have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Castro Daire have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Castro Daire have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Machico- ●Machico have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Machico have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Machico have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Machico have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Machico have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Machico have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Machico's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Castro DaireFlorgrade1–1Alpendorada2–2Salgueiros0–0Estrela Calheta3–0Beira-Mar1–1Sousense1–0Guarda08/11Camacha28/11Sanjoanense06/12MachicoCamacha0–0Guarda1–0Florgrade4–0Alpendorada2–1Salgueiros1–1Beira-Mar2–0Sanjoanense08/11União Lamas28/11Cinfães06/12Top Scorers
Castro DaireMachicoCards Given
Castro DaireMachico