Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Group B - 9

Ovarense

1º · 2.60 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 0h

–

Guarda

13º · 0.20 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 4h

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Ovarense and Guarda meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Ovarense have recorded 4 wins from 6 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 17% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. Guarda have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Ovarense and 0.84 for Guarda. The models give Ovarense a 52% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Guarda win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 40%.

Season Statistics

Ovarense

—

Guarda

1º

Position

13º

2.60

PPG

0.20

80%

Win %

2.00

Goals / game

0.40

Conceded / game

1.20

17%

BTTS %

29%

67%

Clean sheet %

14%

33%

Over 2.5 %

43%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Ovarense

Home (3)

—

Guarda

Away (3)

2.33

PPG

0.00

67%

Win %

1.67

Goals / game

0.00

0.67

Conceded / game

1.00

25%

BTTS %

50%

Clean sheet %

25%

Over 2.5 %

25%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Ovarense	Home	Away	Guarda	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	86%	75%	100%	38%	50%	25%
Over 1.5 Scored	71%	50%	100%	38%	50%	25%
Over 2.5 Scored	14%	0%	33%	13%	0%	25%
Failed To Score	14%	25%	0%	63%	50%	75%

Goals Conceded

	Ovarense	Home	Away	Guarda	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	29%	50%	0%	88%	100%	75%
Over 1.5 Conceded	14%	25%	0%	25%	50%	0%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	13%	25%	0%
Clean Sheets	71%	50%	100%	13%	0%	25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Ovarense	Guarda
Over 0.5	100%	100%
Over 1.5	71%	38%
Over 2.5	29%	38%
Over 3.5	14%	38%
Over 4.5	0%	25%
BTTS	14%	25%
BTTS & Win	0%	0%
BTTS & Draw	14%	13%
BTTS & Over 2.5	14%	25%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	14%	13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Ovarense	Guarda
Win 1st Half	57%	13%
Draw 1st Half	14%	13%
Loss 1st Half	29%	75%
Scored 1st Half	57%	13%
Conceded 1st Half	29%	75%
Win 2nd Half	57%	38%
Draw 2nd Half	43%	50%
Loss 2nd Half	0%	13%
Scored 2nd Half	57%	38%
Conceded 2nd Half	14%	13%
Over 0.5 HT	86%	88%
Over 1.5 HT	14%	38%

Recent Venue Form

Ovarense (H)

Beira-Mar2–2

Os Marialvas0–1

Sousense2–0

União Lamas1–0

SC Covilha2–2

SC Celoricense7–1

Guarda (A)

Sanjoanense0–1

União Lamas0–1

Académico do Fundão6–0

Florgrade0–1

Leça2–6

Machico0–1

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ovarense	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Machico	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Camacha	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Castro Daire	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Sanjoanense	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Salgueiros	5	1	4	0	+1	7
6	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Florgrade	5	2	1	2	-2	7
8	Cinfães	5	1	3	1	+1	6
9	União Lamas	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Estrela Calheta	5	1	2	2	-4	5
11	Beira-Mar	5	0	4	1	-2	4
12	Alpendorada	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Guarda	5	0	1	4	-4	1
14	Sousense	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Team Insights

Ovarense

●Ovarense have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
●Ovarense have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
●Ovarense have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
●Ovarense have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
●Ovarense have won their last 3 away matches.
●Ovarense have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
●Ovarense have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.