Estrela Calheta vs Alpendorada — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
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Estrela Calheta and Alpendorada meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Estrela Calheta have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Alpendorada have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Estrela Calheta and 1.32 for Alpendorada. The models give Estrela Calheta a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Alpendorada win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Estrela CalhetaAlpendoradaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Estrela Calheta | Home | Away | Alpendorada | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 50% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 33% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Estrela Calheta | Home | Away | Alpendorada | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 75% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 100% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 67% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 25% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Estrela Calheta | Alpendorada | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 57% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Estrela Calheta | Alpendorada | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 17% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Estrela Calheta (H)
Cinfães2–2
Vianense1–3
Ovarense0–3Alpendorada (A)Cinfães0–0
Sanjoanense1–3
Rebordosa2–2
Guarda1–0
Salgueiros2–0
Anadia3–0Head to Head · 1 matches
Estrela Calheta| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ovarense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Machico | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 |  Camacha | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |  Castro Daire | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 | Sanjoanense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 6 | Salgueiros | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Florgrade | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Cinfães | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 9 |  União Lamas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Estrela Calheta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 |  Beira-Mar | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Alpendorada | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Guarda | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 |  Sousense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
Estrela Calheta—
Alpendorada- ●Alpendorada have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
Season Schedule
Estrela CalhetaSousense3–1Castro Daire0–3Cinfães2–2Ovarense0–3Machico0–0União Lamas25/10Beira-Mar01/11Salgueiros08/11AlpendoradaCinfães0–0Machico1–2Sanjoanense1–3Camacha1–2Guarda1–0Castro Daire25/10Ovarense01/11Sousense08/11Top Scorers
Estrela CalhetaAlpendoradaCards Given
Estrela CalhetaAlpendorada