Guarda vs Castro Daire — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
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Guarda and Castro Daire meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Guarda have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Castro Daire have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 17%, Over 2.5 at 17%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.03 for Guarda and 1.17 for Castro Daire. The models give Guarda a 32% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Castro Daire win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
GuardaCastro DaireHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Guarda | Home | Away | Castro Daire | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 43% | 67% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 67% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 57% | 33% | 75% | 50% | 75% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Guarda | Home | Away | Castro Daire | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 67% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Guarda | Castro Daire | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 17% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 29% | 17% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Guarda | Castro Daire | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 71% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 14% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 14% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Guarda (H)
Chaves2–3
Camacha2–2
Alpendorada0–1
Régua1–1
Beira-Mar0–1Alpendorada0–1Castro Daire (A)Beira-Mar1–1
Sousense1–0
Leça0–1
Marítimo II1–5
Lusitânia Lourosa1–2
Salgueiros1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ovarense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Machico | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | Camacha | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Castro Daire | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 |  Sanjoanense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 6 | Salgueiros | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Florgrade | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Cinfães | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 9 |  União Lamas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 |  Estrela Calheta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Beira-Mar | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Alpendorada | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Guarda | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 | Sousense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
Guarda- ●Guarda have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Guarda failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Guarda have lost their last 3 away matches.
Castro Daire- ●Castro Daire have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Castro Daire have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Castro Daire have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Season Schedule
GuardaSanjoanense0–1Camacha2–2União Lamas0–1Florgrade0–1Alpendorada0–1Machico25/10Cinfães01/11Castro Daire08/11Castro DaireSalgueiros0–0Estrela Calheta3–0Beira-Mar1–1Sousense1–0Ovarense0–2Alpendorada25/10Florgrade01/11Guarda08/11Top Scorers
GuardaCastro Daire