Maria da Fonte vs Tirsense — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A
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Maria da Fonte and Tirsense meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Maria da Fonte have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.63 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Tirsense have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.05 for Maria da Fonte and 1.40 for Tirsense. The models give Maria da Fonte a 28% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Tirsense win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Maria da FonteTirsenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Maria da | Home | Away | Tirsense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 33% | 80% | 86% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 67% | 20% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Maria da | Home | Away | Tirsense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 67% | 80% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 60% | 43% | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 20% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 33% | 20% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Maria da | Tirsense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS | 38% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Maria da | Tirsense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Maria da (H)
SC Braga B0–4
Uniao Nogueirense1–0
Celoricense0–1
Brito1–2
Arouca0–5
Cardielense2–1Tirsense (A)SC Braga B2–3
Mafra2–2Celoricense1–2
Rebordosa1–0
Os Limianos0–0
Mirandela1–0Head to Head · 2 matches
TirsenseMaria da Fonte| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chaves II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | SC Braga B | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 11 |
| 3 | Os Limianos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bragança | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Tirsense | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Montalegre | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 |  Vila Meã | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 | Celoricense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | Rebordosa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 |  Ponte da Barca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Maria da Fonte | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 12 | Brito | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 |  Maia Lidador | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 |  Vinhais | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 0 |
Team Insights
Maria da- ●Maria da Fonte have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Maria da Fonte have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Tirsense- ●Tirsense have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Tirsense have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tirsense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tirsense have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
Maria daMaia Lidador1–1SC Braga B0–4Brito1–2Celoricense0–1Vinhais1–0Bragança25/10Montalegre01/11Ponte da Barca08/11TirsenseSC Braga B2–3Brito2–0Celoricense1–2Vinhais3–0Rebordosa1–0Maia Lidador25/10Bragança01/11Montalegre08/11Top Scorers
Maria daTirsenseCards Given
Maria daTirsense