Maria da Fonte vs Ponte da Barca — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A
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Maria da Fonte and Ponte da Barca meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Maria da Fonte have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.63 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Ponte da Barca have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 0.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.98 for Maria da Fonte and 1.21 for Ponte da Barca. The models give Maria da Fonte a 32% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Ponte da Barca win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Maria da FontePonte da BarcaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Maria da | Home | Away | Ponte da | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 50% | 80% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 50% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Maria da | Home | Away | Ponte da | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 75% | 80% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 60% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 25% | 20% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Maria da | Ponte da | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 13% |
| BTTS | 44% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Maria da | Ponte da | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Maria da (H)
Bragança1–2
SC Braga B0–4
Uniao Nogueirense1–0
Celoricense0–1
Brito1–2
Arouca0–5Ponte da (A)
Montalegre1–0Bragança0–3Montalegre0–0
Maia Lidador1–0
Merelinense0–0
Estarreja1–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chaves II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | SC Braga B | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 11 |
| 3 |  Os Limianos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | Bragança | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Tirsense | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Montalegre | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 |  Vila Meã | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 | Celoricense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Rebordosa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Ponte da Barca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Maria da Fonte | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 12 | Brito | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 | Maia Lidador | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 |  Vinhais | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 0 |
Team Insights
Maria da- ●Maria da Fonte have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Maria da Fonte failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Maria da Fonte have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●70% of Maria da Fonte's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Maria da Fonte have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Ponte da- ●Ponte da Barca have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●86% of Ponte da Barca's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Maria daBragança1–2Maia Lidador1–1SC Braga B0–4Brito1–2Celoricense0–1Vinhais1–0Montalegre01/11Ponte da Barca08/11Tirsense28/11Ponte daMontalegre1–0Rebordosa0–0Bragança0–3Os Limianos2–3Maia Lidador1–0Vila Meã1–2Vinhais01/11Maria da Fonte08/11Celoricense28/11Top Scorers
Maria daPonte daCards Given
Maria daPonte da