Paraty vs Barra Mansa — Carioca B2
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Paraty and Barra Mansa meet in the Carioca B2 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Paraty have recorded 0 wins from 9 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.56 goals scored and 3.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Barra Mansa have won 25% of their 20 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 30%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.05 for Paraty and 1.57 for Barra Mansa. The models give Paraty a 28% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Barra Mansa win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
ParatyBarra MansaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Paraty | Home | Away | Barra Mansa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 44% | 20% | 75% | 45% | 55% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 56% | 80% | 25% | 55% | 45% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Paraty | Home | Away | Barra Mansa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 55% | 55% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 78% | 80% | 75% | 40% | 45% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 67% | 80% | 50% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 45% | 45% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paraty | Barra Mansa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 5% |
| BTTS | 44% | 20% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paraty | Barra Mansa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 78% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 11% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 78% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 78% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 89% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Paraty (H)
Santa Cruz RJ0–1
Rio de Janeiro0–4
Paduano0–3
Friburguense1–4
SE Belford Roxo0–4Santa Cruz RJ0–1Barra Mansa (A)Santa Cruz RJ0–1Rio de Janeiro0–2Paduano2–2Friburguense0–0
Búzios0–3
Uni Souza0–0Head to Head · 1 matches
Paraty| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz RJ | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 |  Cardoso Moreira | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Serra Macaense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Paduano | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 | SE Belford Roxo | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 |  Campos AA | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  7 de Abril | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Rio de Janeiro | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Búzios | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -23 | 0 |
Team Insights
Paraty- ●Paraty have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Paraty have lost their last 9 matches.
- ●Paraty failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Paraty have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Paraty have lost their last 5 home matches.
- ●Paraty failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Paraty have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Paraty failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Paraty have lost 5 of their 5 home matches.
Barra Mansa- ●Barra Mansa have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Barra Mansa have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
ParatySanta Cruz RJ0–1Cardoso Moreira1–6Rio de Janeiro0–4Búzios2–3Paduano0–37 de Abril0–1Serra Macaense25/10Barra Mansa01/11Barra MansaSerra Macaense0–1Santa Cruz RJ0–1Cardoso Moreira0–0Rio de Janeiro0–2Búzios1–0Paduano2–2SE Belford Roxo25/10Paraty01/11Top Scorers
ParatyBarra MansaCards Given
ParatyBarra Mansa