Serra Macaense vs Paraty — Carioca B2
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Serra Macaense and Paraty meet in the Carioca B2 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Serra Macaense have recorded 5 wins from 9 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Paraty have won 0% of their 9 matches, with 0.56 goals scored and 3.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Serra Macaense and 1.17 for Paraty. The models give Serra Macaense a 61% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Paraty win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Serra MacaenseParatyHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Serra Macaense | Home | Away | Paraty | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 75% | 100% | 44% | 20% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 60% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 25% | 0% | 56% | 80% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Serra Macaense | Home | Away | Paraty | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 75% | 60% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 40% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 25% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Serra Macaense | Paraty | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 33% |
| BTTS | 56% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Serra Macaense | Paraty | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 78% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 11% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 78% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 78% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 89% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Serra Macaense (H)
Santa Cruz RJ3–0
Rio de Janeiro2–1
Paduano1–2
Friburguense0–1
Macaé2–1
Goytacaz1–0Paraty (A)
Cardoso Moreira1–6
Búzios2–3
7 de Abril0–1
Campos AA1–2Goytacaz2–3
Barra Mansa2–1Head to Head · 1 matches
Paraty| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz RJ | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 | Cardoso Moreira | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 | Serra Macaense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Paduano | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 |  SE Belford Roxo | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 | Campos AA | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | 7 de Abril | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Rio de Janeiro | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Búzios | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -23 | 0 |
Team Insights
Serra Macaense- ●Serra Macaense have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Serra Macaense have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Serra Macaense's points have been earned away.
Paraty- ●Paraty have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Paraty have lost their last 9 matches.
- ●Paraty failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Paraty have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Paraty have lost their last 5 home matches.
- ●Paraty failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Paraty have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Paraty failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Paraty have lost 5 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
Serra MacaenseBarra Mansa1–0SE Belford Roxo1–1Santa Cruz RJ3–0Cardoso Moreira3–2Rio de Janeiro2–1Búzios2–0Paraty25/10Campos AA01/11ParatySanta Cruz RJ0–1Cardoso Moreira1–6Rio de Janeiro0–4Búzios2–3Paduano0–37 de Abril0–1Serra Macaense25/10Barra Mansa01/11Top Scorers
Serra MacaenseParatyCards Given
Serra MacaenseParaty