Brazil · Carioca B2 · Group Stage - 10

Cardoso Moreira

3º · 1.89 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 0h

–

Friburguense

1º · 2.56 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 0h

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Cardoso Moreira and Friburguense meet in the Carioca B2 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Cardoso Moreira have recorded 16 wins from 22 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 1.77 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 32% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 64% of games. Friburguense have won 78% of their 9 matches, with 2.22 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 56%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Cardoso Moreira and 1.47 for Friburguense. The models give Cardoso Moreira a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Friburguense win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.

Season Statistics

Cardoso Moreira

—

Friburguense

3º

Position

1º

1.89

PPG

2.56

56%

Win %

78%

1.67

Goals / game

2.22

0.67

Conceded / game

0.67

32%

BTTS %

44%

64%

Clean sheet %

56%

41%

Over 2.5 %

56%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Cardoso Moreira

Home (4)

—

Friburguense

Away (4)

2.25

PPG

3.00

75%

Win %

100%

2.50

Goals / game

2.50

1.00

Conceded / game

1.00

36%

BTTS %

75%

64%

Clean sheet %

25%

36%

Over 2.5 %

75%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Cardoso Moreira	Home	Away	Friburguense	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	82%	91%	73%	89%	80%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	55%	55%	55%	67%	60%	75%
Over 2.5 Scored	18%	18%	18%	33%	20%	50%
Failed To Score	18%	9%	27%	11%	20%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Cardoso Moreira	Home	Away	Friburguense	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	36%	36%	36%	44%	20%	75%
Over 1.5 Conceded	9%	9%	9%	22%	20%	25%
Over 2.5 Conceded	5%	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	64%	64%	64%	56%	80%	25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Cardoso Moreira	Friburguense
Over 0.5	86%	89%
Over 1.5	55%	67%
Over 2.5	41%	56%
Over 3.5	23%	44%
Over 4.5	14%	33%
BTTS	32%	44%
BTTS & Win	23%	33%
BTTS & Draw	5%	11%
BTTS & Over 2.5	32%	44%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	9%	11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Cardoso Moreira	Friburguense
Win 1st Half	23%	67%
Draw 1st Half	64%	33%
Loss 1st Half	14%	0%
Scored 1st Half	27%	89%
Conceded 1st Half	18%	33%
Win 2nd Half	73%	44%
Draw 2nd Half	23%	56%
Loss 2nd Half	5%	0%
Scored 2nd Half	77%	56%
Conceded 2nd Half	27%	33%
Over 0.5 HT	36%	89%
Over 1.5 HT	23%	56%

Recent Venue Form

Cardoso Moreira (H)

Paraty6–1

Serra Macaense2–3

Rio de Janeiro1–0

Paduano1–0

Búzios2–1

Campos AA4–1

Friburguense (A)

Búzios3–2

7 de Abril2–1

Paraty4–1

Serra Macaense1–0

Nova Cidade0–1

Paduano0–2

Carioca B2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Friburguense	9	7	2	0	+14	23
2	Santa Cruz RJ	9	6	0	3	+3	18
3	Cardoso Moreira	9	5	2	2	+9	17
4	Serra Macaense	9	5	2	2	+7	17
5	Paduano	9	4	3	2	+8	15
6	SE Belford Roxo	9	3	5	1	+8	14
7	Campos AA	9	3	4	2	+1	13
8	7 de Abril	9	4	1	4	-2	13
9	Rio de Janeiro	9	3	1	5	-2	10
10	Barra Mansa	9	1	4	4	-6	7
11	Búzios	9	1	0	8	-17	3
12	Paraty	9	0	0	9	-23	0

Team Insights

Cardoso Moreira

●Cardoso Moreira have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
●Cardoso Moreira have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Cardoso Moreira have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
●Cardoso Moreira have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
●67% of Cardoso Moreira's goals have been scored at home.

Friburguense

●Friburguense have won their last 4 matches.
●Friburguense have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
●Friburguense have won their last 2 home matches.
●Friburguense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
●Friburguense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Friburguense have won their last 4 away matches.
●Friburguense have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
●Friburguense have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Friburguense have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
●Friburguense have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.