Búzios vs Paduano — Carioca B2
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Búzios and Paduano meet in the Carioca B2 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Búzios have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Paduano have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Búzios and 1.62 for Paduano. The models give Búzios a 29% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Paduano win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Búzios
PaduanoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Búzios | Home | Away | Paduano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 67% | 75% | 78% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 56% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 22% | 17% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 33% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Búzios | Home | Away | Paduano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 78% | 67% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 56% | 50% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 22% | 33% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 22% | 33% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Búzios | Paduano | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 22% |
| BTTS | 48% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Búzios | Paduano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Búzios (H)
Friburguense2–3
Paraty3–2
Serra Macaense0–2
Cardoso Moreira0–3
Barra Mansa3–0
EC Resende1–1Paduano (A)Friburguense0–1Paraty3–0Serra Macaense2–1Cardoso Moreira0–1
Niteroiense1–5
São Cristóvão RJ0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  Santa Cruz RJ | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 | Cardoso Moreira | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 | Serra Macaense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Paduano | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 |  SE Belford Roxo | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 |  Campos AA | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  7 de Abril | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Rio de Janeiro | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Búzios | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -23 | 0 |
Team Insights
Búzios- ●Búzios have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Búzios have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Búzios failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Búzios have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Búzios have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Búzios failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Búzios failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Búzios have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Búzios's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Búzios have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Paduano- ●Paduano have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Paduano have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●71% of Paduano's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Paduano's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Búzios7 de Abril1–4Friburguense2–3Campos AA1–3Paraty3–2Barra Mansa0–1Serra Macaense0–2Paduano25/10SE Belford Roxo01/11PaduanoSE Belford Roxo3–37 de Abril5–0Friburguense0–1Campos AA1–1Paraty3–0Barra Mansa2–2Búzios25/10Rio de Janeiro01/11Top Scorers
BúziosPaduanoCards Given
BúziosPaduano