Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad — Third League - Southwest
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Septemvri Simitli and Balkan Botevgrad meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Septemvri Simitli have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Balkan Botevgrad have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 1.06 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Septemvri Simitli and 1.26 for Balkan Botevgrad. The models give Septemvri Simitli a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Balkan Botevgrad win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Septemvri Simitli—
Balkan Botevgrad16º
Position
5º
1.07
PPG
1.47
21%
Win %
47%
1.36
Goals / game
1.13
1.71
Conceded / game
1.20
69%
BTTS %
31%
25%
Clean sheet %
38%
56%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Septemvri Simitli
Home (7)
—
Balkan Botevgrad
Away (8)
1.00
PPG
1.50
14%
Win %
50%
1.14
Goals / game
1.13
1.43
Conceded / game
0.88
57%
BTTS %
13%
29%
Clean sheet %
38%
29%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Septemvri Simitli | Home | Away | Balkan Botevgrad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 71% | 100% | 69% | 88% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 29% | 56% | 19% | 13% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 29% | 0% | 31% | 13% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Septemvri Simitli | Home | Away | Balkan Botevgrad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 71% | 78% | 63% | 63% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 43% | 44% | 44% | 63% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 29% | 22% | 19% | 38% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 29% | 22% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Septemvri Simitli | Balkan Botevgrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 69% | 31% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Septemvri Simitli | Balkan Botevgrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Septemvri Simitli (H)D
Slavia Sofia II1–1
Slavia Sofia II1–1D
Belasitsa1–1
Belasitsa1–1L
Oborishte1–3
Oborishte1–3L
FK Minyor Pernik0–2
FK Minyor Pernik0–2D
Natsional Sofia3–3
Natsional Sofia3–3D
CSKA Sofia III0–0
CSKA Sofia III0–0Balkan Botevgrad (A)W
Pirin Razlog5–0
Pirin Razlog5–0L
Chavdar Etropole0–1
Chavdar Etropole0–1WBelasitsa2–1
Belasitsa2–1W
Kostinbrod1–0
Kostinbrod1–0L
Septemvri Sofia II0–2
Septemvri Sofia II0–2LSlavia Sofia II0–1
Slavia Sofia II0–1Head to Head · 12 matches
3
Septemvri Simitli
25%
4
Draws
33%
5
Balkan Botevgrad
42%
83%
Over 1.5
10/12
67%
Over 2.5
8/12
42%
Over 3.5
5/12
75%
BTTS
9/12
08/08/26Septemvri Simitli
Balkan Botevgrad
1–2Septemvri Simitli24/04/26Septemvri Simitli
Balkan Botevgrad
1–0Septemvri Simitli11/10/25Balkan Botevgrad
Septemvri Simitli
0–0Balkan Botevgrad03/05/25Balkan Botevgrad
Septemvri Simitli
4–3Balkan Botevgrad12/10/24Septemvri Simitli
Balkan Botevgrad
2–1Septemvri Simitli06/06/24Balkan Botevgrad
Septemvri Simitli
2–2Balkan Botevgrad25/11/23Septemvri Simitli
Balkan Botevgrad
3–2Septemvri Simitli20/05/23Septemvri Simitli
Balkan Botevgrad
5–2Septemvri Simitli12/04/23Balkan Botevgrad
Septemvri Simitli
2–1Balkan Botevgrad19/08/19Septemvri Simitli
Balkan Botevgrad
2–2Septemvri Simitli06/03/19Septemvri Simitli
Balkan Botevgrad
1–1Septemvri Simitli11/08/18Balkan Botevgrad
Septemvri Simitli
0–2Balkan Botevgrad| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | +27 | 36 |
| 2 |  Bansko | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 | Oborishte | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 | Kostinbrod | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | Balkan Botevgrad | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Strumska Slava | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Slivnishki geroy | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 9 | Belasitsa | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia III | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 11 | Slavia Sofia II | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | Chavdar Etropole | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 17 |
| 13 |  Botev Ihtiman | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Levski Sofia II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 |  Kyustendil | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 16 | Septemvri Simitli | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 10 |
Team Insights
Septemvri Simitli- ●Septemvri Simitli have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Simitli have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Balkan Botevgrad- ●Balkan Botevgrad have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Balkan Botevgrad have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Balkan Botevgrad have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Balkan Botevgrad have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
Septemvri SimitliLALevski Sofia II1–2
Levski Sofia II1–2DHSlavia Sofia II1–1
Slavia Sofia II1–1DABotev Ihtiman2–2
Botev Ihtiman2–2DHBelasitsa1–1
Belasitsa1–1WAStrumska Slava2–1
Strumska Slava2–1LHOborishte1–3
Oborishte1–3–HSeptemvri Sofia II07/11
Septemvri Sofia II07/11–ASlivnishki geroy14/11
Slivnishki geroy14/11–HKyustendil18/11
Kyustendil18/11Balkan BotevgradLHFK Minyor Pernik1–4
FK Minyor Pernik1–4WAPirin Razlog5–0
Pirin Razlog5–0LHNatsional Sofia1–3
Natsional Sofia1–3LAChavdar Etropole0–1
Chavdar Etropole0–1WHCSKA Sofia III1–0
CSKA Sofia III1–0WABelasitsa2–1
Belasitsa2–1–ABansko07/11
Bansko07/11–HOborishte14/11
Oborishte14/11–HStrumska Slava21/11
Strumska Slava21/11