Strumska Slava vs Slivnishki geroy — Third League - Southwest
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Strumska Slava and Slivnishki geroy meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Strumska Slava have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.91 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Slivnishki geroy have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Strumska Slava and 1.18 for Slivnishki geroy. The models give Strumska Slava a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Slivnishki geroy win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Strumska Slava—
Slivnishki geroy5º
Position
8º
1.90
PPG
1.42
60%
Win %
42%
2.00
Goals / game
1.50
1.20
Conceded / game
1.58
55%
BTTS %
69%
45%
Clean sheet %
23%
73%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Strumska Slava
Home (6)
—
Slivnishki geroy
Away (7)
2.50
PPG
1.43
83%
Win %
43%
2.17
Goals / game
1.71
0.67
Conceded / game
1.71
50%
BTTS %
100%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
83%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Strumska Slava | Home | Away | Slivnishki geroy | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 100% | 80% | 85% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 73% | 83% | 60% | 54% | 33% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 0% | 20% | 15% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Strumska Slava | Home | Away | Slivnishki geroy | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 60% | 77% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 17% | 40% | 46% | 33% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 40% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 50% | 40% | 23% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Strumska Slava | Slivnishki geroy | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS | 55% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Strumska Slava | Slivnishki geroy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 15% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 54% |
| Scored 1st Half | 73% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 77% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 62% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Strumska Slava (H)L
Septemvri Simitli1–2
Septemvri Simitli1–2W
Belasitsa2–1
Belasitsa2–1W
Bansko3–0
Bansko3–0W
Pirin Razlog3–0
Pirin Razlog3–0W
Chavdar Etropole2–1
Chavdar Etropole2–1W
Balkan Botevgrad2–0
Balkan Botevgrad2–0Slivnishki geroy (A)WPirin Razlog2–1
Pirin Razlog2–1LChavdar Etropole1–2
Chavdar Etropole1–2DBalkan Botevgrad2–2
Balkan Botevgrad2–2LBelasitsa2–3
Belasitsa2–3W
Septemvri Sofia II2–1
Septemvri Sofia II2–1W
Slavia Sofia II2–1
Slavia Sofia II2–1Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Strumska Slava
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Slivnishki geroy
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
09/04/26Slivnishki geroy
Strumska Slava
3–0Slivnishki geroy27/09/25Strumska Slava
Slivnishki geroy
2–2Strumska Slava| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FK Minyor Pernik | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 29 |
| 2 |  Oborishte | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Kostinbrod | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +10 | 21 |
| 5 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 | Septemvri Sofia II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | Balkan Botevgrad | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia II | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |  CSKA Sofia III | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 |  Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Septemvri Simitli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Chavdar Etropole | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 |
| 14 |  Levski Sofia II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Belasitsa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 |  Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 |  Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
Team Insights
Strumska Slava- ●Strumska Slava have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●62% of Strumska Slava's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Strumska Slava's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Strumska Slava's points have been earned at home.
Slivnishki geroy- ●Slivnishki geroy have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Slivnishki geroy have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Slivnishki geroy's goals have been scored away.
- ●Slivnishki geroy have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Strumska SlavaDASlavia Sofia II1–1
Slavia Sofia II1–1LHSeptemvri Simitli1–2
Septemvri Simitli1–2WHBelasitsa2–1
Belasitsa2–1LAOborishte2–3
Oborishte2–3WHBansko3–0
Bansko3–0LAFK Minyor Pernik2–5
FK Minyor Pernik2–5–HLevski Sofia II28/10
Levski Sofia II28/10–ASeptemvri Sofia II31/10
Septemvri Sofia II31/10–AKyustendil04/11
Kyustendil04/11Slivnishki geroyDHFK Minyor Pernik0–0
FK Minyor Pernik0–0WAPirin Razlog2–1
Pirin Razlog2–1WHNatsional Sofia2–0
Natsional Sofia2–0LAChavdar Etropole1–2
Chavdar Etropole1–2DHCSKA Sofia III1–1
CSKA Sofia III1–1DABalkan Botevgrad2–2
Balkan Botevgrad2–2–ABansko28/10
Bansko28/10–HOborishte31/10
Oborishte31/10–AStrumska Slava07/11
Strumska Slava07/11