Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 16

Belasitsa

15º · 0.92 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 23h

–

Natsional Sofia

17º · 0.64 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 23h

Stadion Tsar Samuil·Petrich·Bulgaria·9,500

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Belasitsa and Natsional Sofia meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Belasitsa have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Natsional Sofia have won 15% of their 13 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 15%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Belasitsa and 1.48 for Natsional Sofia. The models give Belasitsa a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Natsional Sofia win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Belasitsa

—

Natsional Sofia

15º

Position

17º

0.92

PPG

0.64

25%

Win %

1.42

Goals / game

1.09

1.92

Conceded / game

1.82

61%

BTTS %

62%

22%

Clean sheet %

15%

50%

Over 2.5 %

62%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Belasitsa

Home (6)

—

Natsional Sofia

Away (6)

1.00

PPG

0.33

33%

Win %

1.67

Goals / game

1.00

2.17

Conceded / game

2.00

55%

BTTS %

57%

27%

Clean sheet %

14%

55%

Over 2.5 %

57%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Belasitsa	Home	Away	Natsional Sofia	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	67%	64%	71%	69%	83%	57%
Over 1.5 Scored	33%	45%	14%	38%	33%	43%
Over 2.5 Scored	22%	27%	14%	15%	0%	29%
Failed To Score	33%	36%	29%	31%	17%	43%

Goals Conceded

	Belasitsa	Home	Away	Natsional Sofia	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	78%	73%	86%	85%	83%	86%
Over 1.5 Conceded	39%	45%	29%	62%	67%	57%
Over 2.5 Conceded	11%	9%	14%	38%	33%	43%
Clean Sheets	22%	27%	14%	15%	17%	14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Belasitsa	Natsional Sofia
Over 0.5	83%	92%
Over 1.5	72%	85%
Over 2.5	50%	62%
Over 3.5	28%	46%
Over 4.5	22%	15%
BTTS	61%	62%
BTTS & Win	22%	8%
BTTS & Draw	11%	23%
BTTS & Over 2.5	50%	54%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Belasitsa	Natsional Sofia
Win 1st Half	24%	8%
Draw 1st Half	47%	46%
Loss 1st Half	29%	46%
Scored 1st Half	35%	46%
Conceded 1st Half	41%	69%
Win 2nd Half	6%	15%
Draw 2nd Half	59%	54%
Loss 2nd Half	35%	31%
Scored 2nd Half	53%	54%
Conceded 2nd Half	65%	62%
Over 0.5 HT	65%	77%
Over 1.5 HT	29%	54%

Recent Venue Form

Belasitsa (H)

CSKA Sofia III0–2

Balkan Botevgrad1–2

Dobrudzha1–2

Kostinbrod0–1

Slivnishki geroy3–2

Septemvri Sofia II2–1

Natsional Sofia (A)

Balkan Botevgrad3–1

Slivnishki geroy0–2

Levski Sofia II0–0

Botev Ihtiman2–3

Septemvri Simitli3–3

Oborishte1–3

Third League - Southwest

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Minyor Pernik	12	9	2	1	+21	29
2	Oborishte	11	6	4	1	+11	22
3	Bansko	10	7	1	2	+8	22
4	Kostinbrod	12	7	0	5	+10	21
5	Strumska Slava	10	6	1	3	+8	19
6	Septemvri Sofia II	11	6	1	4	+2	19
7	Balkan Botevgrad	12	6	1	5	-1	19
8	Slivnishki geroy	12	5	2	5	-1	17
9	Slavia Sofia II	11	5	0	6	+2	15
10	CSKA Sofia III	11	3	6	2	+2	15
11	Botev Ihtiman	10	5	0	5	+1	15
12	Septemvri Simitli	11	3	4	4	-4	13
13	Chavdar Etropole	12	4	1	7	-15	13
14	Levski Sofia II	11	3	3	5	-2	12
15	Belasitsa	12	3	2	7	-6	11
16	Kyustendil	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Natsional Sofia	11	1	4	6	-8	7
18	Pirin Razlog	13	2	1	10	-22	7