Septemvri Sofia II vs Strumska Slava — Third League - Southwest
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Septemvri Sofia II and Strumska Slava meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Septemvri Sofia II have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Strumska Slava have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Septemvri Sofia II and 1.20 for Strumska Slava. The models give Septemvri Sofia II a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Strumska Slava win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Septemvri Sofia IIStrumska SlavaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Septemvri Sofia | Home | Away | Strumska Slava | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 67% | 83% | 92% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 33% | 50% | 75% | 86% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 33% | 17% | 8% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Septemvri Sofia | Home | Away | Strumska Slava | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 67% | 100% | 58% | 57% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 29% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 17% | 17% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% | 42% | 43% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Septemvri Sofia | Strumska Slava | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS | 58% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Septemvri Sofia | Strumska Slava | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 58% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
Septemvri Sofia (H)
Bansko0–1
Pirin Razlog2–1
Chavdar Etropole0–1
Balkan Botevgrad2–0
Slivnishki geroy1–2
Slavia Sofia II1–0Strumska Slava (A)Slavia Sofia II1–1
Oborishte2–3
FK Minyor Pernik2–5
Natsional Sofia3–0
CSKA Sofia III0–0Pirin Razlog1–2Head to Head · 2 matches
Strumska SlavaSeptemvri Sofia II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | +27 | 36 |
| 2 | Bansko | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 | Oborishte | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Kostinbrod | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | Balkan Botevgrad | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 | Strumska Slava | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 9 |  Belasitsa | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia III | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 11 | Slavia Sofia II | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | Chavdar Etropole | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 17 |
| 13 |  Botev Ihtiman | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Levski Sofia II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 |  Kyustendil | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 16 |  Septemvri Simitli | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 10 |
Team Insights
Septemvri Sofia- ●Septemvri Sofia II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia II failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia II have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia II have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Strumska Slava- ●Strumska Slava have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Strumska Slava failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Strumska Slava have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●65% of Strumska Slava's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Strumska Slava's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Septemvri SofiaBansko0–1FK Minyor Pernik0–3Pirin Razlog2–1Natsional Sofia2–1Chavdar Etropole0–1Balkan Botevgrad2–0Septemvri Simitli07/11Oborishte11/11Kyustendil14/11Strumska SlavaLevski Sofia II2–2Slavia Sofia II1–1Septemvri Simitli1–2Belasitsa2–1Oborishte2–3Bansko3–0Kyustendil04/11Slivnishki geroy07/11Kostinbrod14/11