Natsional Sofia vs CSKA Sofia III — Third League - Southwest
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Natsional Sofia and CSKA Sofia III meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Natsional Sofia have recorded 2 wins from 13 matches this season (15% win rate), averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. CSKA Sofia III have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 17%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Natsional Sofia and 1.21 for CSKA Sofia III. The models give Natsional Sofia a 34% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an CSKA Sofia III win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Natsional SofiaCSKA Sofia IIIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Natsional Sofia | Home | Away | CSKA Sofia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 83% | 57% | 58% | 60% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 43% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 0% | 29% | 8% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 17% | 43% | 42% | 40% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Natsional Sofia | Home | Away | CSKA Sofia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 83% | 86% | 50% | 40% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 67% | 57% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 33% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 17% | 14% | 50% | 60% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Natsional Sofia | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 17% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 8% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS | 62% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Natsional Sofia | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 17% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 54% | 58% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 42% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 8% |
Recent Venue Form
Natsional Sofia (H)
Septemvri Sofia II1–2
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1–3
Slavia Sofia II2–0
Kyustendil1–1
Strumska Slava0–3
Bansko2–2CSKA Sofia (A)
Belasitsa2–0
Balkan Botevgrad0–1
Slivnishki geroy1–1
Levski Sofia II0–0
Botev Ihtiman1–2
Septemvri Simitli0–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FK Minyor Pernik | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 29 |
| 2 |  Oborishte | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Kostinbrod | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +10 | 21 |
| 5 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 | Septemvri Sofia II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | Balkan Botevgrad | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia II | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia III | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Septemvri Simitli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Chavdar Etropole | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 |
| 14 | Levski Sofia II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Belasitsa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 |  Pirin Razlog | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
Team Insights
Natsional Sofia- ●Natsional Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Natsional Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
CSKA Sofia- ●CSKA Sofia III have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●CSKA Sofia III have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●CSKA Sofia III have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●CSKA Sofia III have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●CSKA Sofia III have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
Natsional SofiaBalkan Botevgrad3–1Slivnishki geroy0–2Septemvri Sofia II1–2Levski Sofia II0–0Slavia Sofia II2–0Botev Ihtiman2–3CSKA Sofia III28/10Chavdar Etropole31/10Kostinbrod04/11CSKA SofiaChavdar Etropole0–0Belasitsa2–0Balkan Botevgrad0–1Kostinbrod1–0Slivnishki geroy1–1Levski Sofia II0–0Natsional Sofia28/10Pirin Razlog31/10FK Minyor Pernik07/11Top Scorers
Natsional SofiaCSKA Sofia