Belasitsa vs Chavdar Etropole — Third League - Southwest
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Belasitsa and Chavdar Etropole meet in the Third League - Southwest 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Belasitsa have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Chavdar Etropole have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.98 for Belasitsa and 1.24 for Chavdar Etropole. The models give Belasitsa a 50% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Chavdar Etropole win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Belasitsa—
Chavdar Etropole15º
Position
13º
0.92
PPG
1.08
25%
Win %
33%
1.42
Goals / game
1.08
1.92
Conceded / game
2.33
61%
BTTS %
54%
22%
Clean sheet %
23%
50%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Belasitsa
Home (6)
—
Chavdar Etropole
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
0.50
33%
Win %
17%
1.67
Goals / game
0.50
2.17
Conceded / game
2.83
55%
BTTS %
29%
27%
Clean sheet %
29%
55%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Belasitsa | Home | Away | Chavdar Etropole | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 64% | 71% | 69% | 100% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 45% | 14% | 15% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 27% | 14% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 36% | 29% | 31% | 0% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Belasitsa | Home | Away | Chavdar Etropole | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 73% | 86% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 45% | 29% | 62% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 9% | 14% | 46% | 33% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 27% | 14% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Belasitsa | Chavdar Etropole | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 23% |
| BTTS | 61% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Belasitsa | Chavdar Etropole | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 6% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 59% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 46% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 77% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Belasitsa (H)L
CSKA Sofia III0–2
CSKA Sofia III0–2L
Balkan Botevgrad1–2
Balkan Botevgrad1–2L
Dobrudzha1–2
Dobrudzha1–2L
Kostinbrod0–1
Kostinbrod0–1W
Slivnishki geroy3–2
Slivnishki geroy3–2W
Septemvri Sofia II2–1
Septemvri Sofia II2–1Chavdar Etropole (A)DCSKA Sofia III0–0
CSKA Sofia III0–0LKostinbrod0–5
Kostinbrod0–5WSeptemvri Sofia II1–0
Septemvri Sofia II1–0L
Slavia Sofia II0–4
Slavia Sofia II0–4L
Kyustendil1–3
Kyustendil1–3L
Strumska Slava1–2
Strumska Slava1–2Head to Head · 8 matches
5
Belasitsa
63%
2
Draws
25%
1
Chavdar Etropole
13%
50%
Over 1.5
4/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
22/09/22Belasitsa
Chavdar Etropole
1–0Belasitsa09/04/22Belasitsa
Chavdar Etropole
1–1Belasitsa25/09/21Chavdar Etropole
Belasitsa
2–1Chavdar Etropole29/05/21Chavdar Etropole
Belasitsa
3–1Chavdar Etropole28/11/20Belasitsa
Chavdar Etropole
0–1Belasitsa28/09/19Belasitsa
Chavdar Etropole
0–0Belasitsa01/06/19Belasitsa
Chavdar Etropole
0–1Belasitsa24/11/18Chavdar Etropole
Belasitsa
3–0Chavdar Etropole| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FK Minyor Pernik | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 29 |
| 2 |  Oborishte | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 | Kostinbrod | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +10 | 21 |
| 5 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 | Septemvri Sofia II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | Balkan Botevgrad | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia II | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia III | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 |  Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Septemvri Simitli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Chavdar Etropole | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 |
| 14 |  Levski Sofia II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Belasitsa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 |  Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 |  Pirin Razlog | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
Team Insights
Belasitsa- ●Belasitsa have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Belasitsa have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Belasitsa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Belasitsa failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Belasitsa have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Belasitsa failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Belasitsa have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Chavdar Etropole- ●Chavdar Etropole have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chavdar Etropole have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●77% of Chavdar Etropole's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
BelasitsaDAKyustendil0–0
Kyustendil0–0LHCSKA Sofia III0–2
CSKA Sofia III0–2DASeptemvri Simitli1–1
Septemvri Simitli1–1LHBalkan Botevgrad1–2
Balkan Botevgrad1–2LAStrumska Slava1–2
Strumska Slava1–2LHKostinbrod0–1
Kostinbrod0–1–HChavdar Etropole28/10
Chavdar Etropole28/10–ABotev Ihtiman31/10
Botev Ihtiman31/10–HNatsional Sofia07/11
Natsional Sofia07/11Chavdar EtropoleDACSKA Sofia III0–0
CSKA Sofia III0–0WHBalkan Botevgrad1–0
Balkan Botevgrad1–0LAKostinbrod0–5
Kostinbrod0–5WHSlivnishki geroy2–1
Slivnishki geroy2–1WASeptemvri Sofia II1–0
Septemvri Sofia II1–0LHLevski Sofia II1–3
Levski Sofia II1–3–ABelasitsa28/10
Belasitsa28/10–HNatsional Sofia31/10
Natsional Sofia31/10–APirin Razlog07/11
Pirin Razlog07/11Top Scorers
BelasitsaA. Karachanakov1 ⚽
L. Todorov1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Chavdar Etropole