Mahasarakham United vs Police Tero — Thai League 2
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Mahasarakham United and Police Tero meet in the Thai League 2 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Mahasarakham United have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Police Tero have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Mahasarakham United and 1.10 for Police Tero. The models give Mahasarakham United a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Police Tero win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Mahasarakham United—
Police Tero17º
Position
13º
0.78
PPG
1.11
11%
Win %
33%
0.78
Goals / game
1.22
1.67
Conceded / game
2.22
60%
BTTS %
40%
20%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Mahasarakham United
Home (5)
—
Police Tero
Away (4)
1.20
PPG
0.75
20%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.75
60%
BTTS %
25%
40%
Clean sheet %
25%
20%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Mahasarakham United | Home | Away | Police Tero | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 80% | 60% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 20% | 40% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Mahasarakham United | Home | Away | Police Tero | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 60% | 100% | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 20% | 60% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 20% | 60% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mahasarakham United | Police Tero | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 40% |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 30% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mahasarakham United | Police Tero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Mahasarakham United (H)W
Chanthaburi1–0
Chanthaburi1–0D
Muangthong United0–0
Muangthong United0–0L
Uttaradit2–3
Uttaradit2–3D
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1–1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1–1D
Songkhla1–1
Songkhla1–1D
Khon Kaen United2–2
Khon Kaen United2–2Police Tero (A)LMuangthong United1–4
Muangthong United1–4L
Kanchanaburi0–1
Kanchanaburi0–1LKhon Kaen United0–2
Khon Kaen United0–2W
Esan Pattaya3–0
Esan Pattaya3–0L
Nong Bua Pitchaya1–3
Nong Bua Pitchaya1–3DChanthaburi1–1
Chanthaburi1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Mahasarakham United
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Police Tero
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
08/03/26Mahasarakham United
Police Tero
0–0Mahasarakham United22/11/25Police Tero
Mahasarakham United
2–3Police Tero29/03/25Mahasarakham United
Police Tero
1–1Mahasarakham United30/11/24Police Tero
Mahasarakham United
2–1Police Tero| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khon Kaen United | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 17 |
| 3 | Uttaradit | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 |  Satun | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 | Kanchanaburi | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 | Muangthong United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |  Chainat | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Chiangmai United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Nakhon Pathom | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Phrae United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Chanthaburi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 13 | Police Tero | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Muang Loei United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Esan Pattaya | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Songkhla | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Mahasarakham United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 |  Kasetsart FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Mahasarakham United- ●Mahasarakham United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Mahasarakham United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Mahasarakham United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Mahasarakham United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Mahasarakham United have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Police Tero- ●Police Tero failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Police Tero have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Police Tero have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Police Tero failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of Police Tero's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Police Tero's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Mahasarakham UnitedWHChanthaburi1–0
Chanthaburi1–0LANong Bua Pitchaya0–3
Nong Bua Pitchaya0–3DHMuangthong United0–0
Muangthong United0–0LAKasetsart FC1–3
Kasetsart FC1–3LHUttaradit2–3
Uttaradit2–3DAKanchanaburi1–1
Kanchanaburi1–1–ANakhon Pathom08/11
Nakhon Pathom08/11–HSatun21/11
Satun21/11–AChiangmai United25/11
Chiangmai United25/11Police TeroLHNong Bua Pitchaya0–6
Nong Bua Pitchaya0–6LAMuangthong United1–4
Muangthong United1–4WHKasetsart FC5–3
Kasetsart FC5–3LAKanchanaburi0–1
Kanchanaburi0–1DHNakhon Ratchasima FC1–1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1–1LAKhon Kaen United0–2
Khon Kaen United0–2–AUttaradit07/11
Uttaradit07/11–HChanthaburi20/11
Chanthaburi20/11–ASatun25/11
Satun25/11Top Scorers
Mahasarakham UnitedChitchanok3 ⚽
W. Wokhwa2 ⚽
C. Samphaodi1 ⚽
S. Wattayuchutikul1 ⚽
1 ⚽
H. Kang1 ⚽
Police TeroPedro Henrique4 ⚽
N. Woochueku2 ⚽
K. Sano2 ⚽
Valdo2 ⚽
W. Saenruecha2 ⚽
T. Kaewphung1 ⚽
Cards Given
Mahasarakham UnitedPolice Tero1 🟨