Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat — Thai League 2
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Pitchaya Stadium·Nong Bua Lam Phu·Thailand·12,000
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Nong Bua Pitchaya and Chainat meet in the Thai League 2 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Nong Bua Pitchaya have recorded 5 wins from 9 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.22 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Chainat have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.08 for Nong Bua Pitchaya and 1.14 for Chainat. The models give Nong Bua Pitchaya a 58% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Chainat win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Nong Bua Pitchaya—
Chainat3º
Position
5º
1.75
PPG
1.86
50%
Win %
57%
2.25
Goals / game
1.57
1.50
Conceded / game
1.29
56%
BTTS %
57%
44%
Clean sheet %
29%
67%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Home (4)
—
Chainat
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
33%
3.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Nong Bua | Home | Away | Chainat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 80% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 78% | 100% | 60% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 75% | 20% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Nong Bua | Home | Away | Chainat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 60% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 50% | 40% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nong Bua | Chainat | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 25% |
| BTTS | 56% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nong Bua | Chainat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 11% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Nong Bua (H)W
Mahasarakham United3–0
Mahasarakham United3–0W
Chiangmai United3–1
Chiangmai United3–1W
Satun4–3
Satun4–3W
Kasetsart FC2–0
Kasetsart FC2–0W
Pattani2–1
Pattani2–1W
Police Tero3–1
Police Tero3–1Chainat (A)L
Kanchanaburi3–6
Kanchanaburi3–6L
Khon Kaen United1–2
Khon Kaen United1–2W
Nakhon Ratchasima FC2–1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC2–1L
Muang Loei United0–3
Muang Loei United0–3LPattani1–2
Pattani1–2D
Trat FC3–3
Trat FC3–3Head to Head · 8 matches
4
Nong Bua
50%
2
Draws
25%
2
Chainat
25%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
03/02/26Chainat
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1–1Chainat20/09/25Nong Bua Pitchaya
Chainat
3–0Nong Bua Pitchaya10/03/24Chainat
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3–2Chainat11/11/23Nong Bua Pitchaya
Chainat
1–2Nong Bua Pitchaya06/03/21Nong Bua Pitchaya
Chainat
1–1Nong Bua Pitchaya25/10/20Chainat
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1–0Chainat17/09/17Nong Bua Pitchaya
Chainat
4–0Nong Bua Pitchaya06/05/17Chainat
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3–0Chainat| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khon Kaen United | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 2 |  Uttaradit | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 | Satun | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Chainat | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Phrae United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Kanchanaburi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Chiangmai United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Police Tero | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Nakhon Pathom | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Muang Loei United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Chanthaburi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  Muangthong United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Esan Pattaya | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |  Songkhla | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Mahasarakham United | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Nong Bua- ●Nong Bua Pitchaya have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Nong Bua Pitchaya have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Nong Bua Pitchaya have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Nong Bua Pitchaya's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Nong Bua Pitchaya's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Nong Bua Pitchaya's points have been earned at home.
- ●Nong Bua Pitchaya have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Chainat- ●Chainat have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Chainat have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chainat have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Chainat have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●80% of Chainat's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●77% of Chainat's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Nong BuaWHMahasarakham United3–0
Mahasarakham United3–0LANakhon Pathom3–4
Nakhon Pathom3–4WHChiangmai United3–1
Chiangmai United3–1DAChanthaburi0–0
Chanthaburi0–0WHSatun4–3
Satun4–3DAUttaradit2–2
Uttaradit2–2–APolice Tero01/11
Police Tero01/11–HChainat08/11
Chainat08/11–APhrae United22/11
Phrae United22/11ChainatLAKanchanaburi3–6
Kanchanaburi3–6WHUttaradit3–2
Uttaradit3–2LAKhon Kaen United1–2
Khon Kaen United1–2WHSongkhla2–0
Songkhla2–0WANakhon Ratchasima FC2–1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC2–1DHEsan Pattaya0–0
Esan Pattaya0–0–HKasetsart FC31/10
Kasetsart FC31/10–ANong Bua Pitchaya08/11
Nong Bua Pitchaya08/11–HMuangthong United21/11
Muangthong United21/11Top Scorers
Nong BuaLuan Costa4 ⚽
Caio Rodrigues3 ⚽
Matheus Guedes3 ⚽
A. Saenseekhammuan2 ⚽
J. Songma2 ⚽
L. Lima2 ⚽
ChainatM. M. Ahmed6 ⚽
A. Matarat2 ⚽
T. Sonsri2 ⚽
C. Hombunma1 ⚽
E. Douglas1 ⚽
O. Badji1 ⚽