Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya — Thai League 2
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Boonyachinda Stadium·Bangkok·Thailand·5,000
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Police Tero and Nong Bua Pitchaya meet in the Thai League 2 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Police Tero have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Nong Bua Pitchaya have won 56% of their 9 matches, with 2.22 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Police Tero and 1.38 for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The models give Police Tero a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Nong Bua Pitchaya win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Police Tero—
Nong Bua Pitchaya9º
Position
3º
1.43
PPG
1.75
43%
Win %
50%
1.43
Goals / game
2.25
1.43
Conceded / game
1.50
38%
BTTS %
56%
25%
Clean sheet %
44%
50%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Police Tero
Home (4)
—
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Away (4)
1.75
PPG
0.50
50%
Win %
0%
1.75
Goals / game
1.50
1.75
Conceded / game
2.00
60%
BTTS %
60%
20%
Clean sheet %
40%
60%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Police Tero | Home | Away | Nong Bua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 80% | 33% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 40% | 33% | 78% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 40% | 33% | 44% | 75% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 20% | 67% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Police Tero | Home | Away | Nong Bua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 80% | 67% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 40% | 33% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 40% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 20% | 33% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Police Tero | Nong Bua | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS | 38% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Police Tero | Nong Bua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 11% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Police Tero (H)W
Surin4–1
Surin4–1W
Kasetsart FC5–3
Kasetsart FC5–3D
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1–1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1–1L
Songkhla0–3
Songkhla0–3W
Muang Loei United1–0
Muang Loei United1–0WNong Bua Pitchaya2–1
Nong Bua Pitchaya2–1Nong Bua (A)W
Bangkok2–0
Bangkok2–0L
Nakhon Pathom3–4
Nakhon Pathom3–4D
Chanthaburi0–0
Chanthaburi0–0D
Uttaradit2–2
Uttaradit2–2L
Muangthong United1–2
Muangthong United1–2L
Pattani1–2
Pattani1–2Head to Head · 11 matches
7
Police Tero
64%
1
Draws
9%
3
Nong Bua
27%
82%
Over 1.5
9/11
64%
Over 2.5
7/11
36%
Over 3.5
4/11
73%
BTTS
8/11
09/05/26Police Tero
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3–1Police Tero03/05/26Nong Bua Pitchaya
Police Tero
2–1Nong Bua Pitchaya28/03/26Police Tero
Nong Bua Pitchaya
6–3Police Tero09/11/25Nong Bua Pitchaya
Police Tero
5–2Nong Bua Pitchaya02/04/23Police Tero
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1–2Police Tero28/10/22Nong Bua Pitchaya
Police Tero
2–1Nong Bua Pitchaya05/02/22Nong Bua Pitchaya
Police Tero
1–1Nong Bua Pitchaya02/10/21Police Tero
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1–0Police Tero15/09/19Police Tero
Nong Bua Pitchaya
0–2Police Tero19/06/19Nong Bua Pitchaya
Police Tero
3–1Nong Bua Pitchaya19/05/19Nong Bua Pitchaya
Police Tero
1–0Nong Bua Pitchaya| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Khon Kaen United | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 2 | Uttaradit | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 |  Satun | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Chainat | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Phrae United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 |  Kanchanaburi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Chiangmai United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Police Tero | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Nakhon Pathom | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Muang Loei United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 | Chanthaburi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Muangthong United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Esan Pattaya | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Songkhla | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Mahasarakham United | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Police Tero- ●Police Tero failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Police Tero have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●70% of Police Tero's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Police Tero's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Nong Bua- ●Nong Bua Pitchaya have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Nong Bua Pitchaya have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Nong Bua Pitchaya have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Nong Bua Pitchaya's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Nong Bua Pitchaya's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Nong Bua Pitchaya's points have been earned at home.
- ●Nong Bua Pitchaya have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Police TeroWHKasetsart FC5–3
Kasetsart FC5–3LAKanchanaburi0–1
Kanchanaburi0–1DHNakhon Ratchasima FC1–1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1–1LAKhon Kaen United0–2
Khon Kaen United0–2LHSongkhla0–3
Songkhla0–3WAEsan Pattaya3–0
Esan Pattaya3–0–AMuangthong United26/10
Muangthong United26/10–HNong Bua Pitchaya01/11
Nong Bua Pitchaya01/11–AUttaradit07/11
Uttaradit07/11Nong BuaWHMahasarakham United3–0
Mahasarakham United3–0LANakhon Pathom3–4
Nakhon Pathom3–4WHChiangmai United3–1
Chiangmai United3–1DAChanthaburi0–0
Chanthaburi0–0WHSatun4–3
Satun4–3DAUttaradit2–2
Uttaradit2–2–APolice Tero01/11
Police Tero01/11–HChainat08/11
Chainat08/11–APhrae United22/11
Phrae United22/11Top Scorers
Police TeroPedro Henrique4 ⚽
N. Woochueku2 ⚽
Valdo2 ⚽
W. Saenruecha2 ⚽
S. Yapp1 ⚽
S. Kaewmaneewan1 ⚽
Nong BuaLuan Costa4 ⚽
Caio Rodrigues3 ⚽
Matheus Guedes3 ⚽
A. Saenseekhammuan2 ⚽
J. Songma2 ⚽
L. Lima2 ⚽