Safa Baku vs Qabala — Premyer Liqa
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Safa Baku and Qabala meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Safa Baku have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 0.56 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Qabala have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Safa Baku and 1.17 for Qabala. The models give Safa Baku a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Qabala win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Safa BakuQabalaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Safa Baku | Home | Away | Qabala | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 44% | 25% | 60% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 20% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 56% | 75% | 40% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Safa Baku | Home | Away | Qabala | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 80% | 90% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 60% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 40% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 20% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Safa Baku | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 10% |
| BTTS | 33% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Safa Baku | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 11% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 78% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 30% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Safa Baku (H)
Kapaz1–2
Turan0–1
Sabah FA0–3
Imisli FK0–1
Cəbrayıl1–0
Şimal0–0Qabala (A)
Araz2–1
Sumqayıt1–4Kapaz0–1Turan0–1
Karvan2–1
Zira0–1Head to Head · 2 matches
Safa BakuSafa BakuTeam Insights
Safa Baku- ●Safa Baku have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Safa Baku have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
Qabala- ●Qabala failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Qabala failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
Safa BakuKapaz1–2
Şamaxı FK2–3Turan0–1
Qarabag0–1Sabah FA0–3
Neftchi Baku1–4Sumqayıt02/11Araz07/11Qabala21/11QabalaAraz2–1Sabah FA0–4Sumqayıt1–4Neftchi Baku0–3Kapaz0–1Imisli FK2–1Qarabag31/10Zira07/11Safa Baku21/11Top Scorers
Safa BakuQabalaCards Given
Safa BakuQabala