Kapaz vs Qarabag — Premyer Liqa
← Back
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Kapaz and Qarabag meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Kapaz have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Qarabag have won 62% of their 21 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 52%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for Kapaz and 1.26 for Qarabag. The models give Kapaz a 26% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Qarabag win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Kapaz—
Qarabag6º
Position
3º
1.75
PPG
2.43
50%
Win %
71%
1.13
Goals / game
2.00
1.13
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
38%
40%
Clean sheet %
52%
30%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
6.4
0.0
Avg shots
10.4
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
0.0
Avg fouls
9.3
0.0%
Avg possession
58.0%
Home vs Away
Kapaz
Home (5)
—
Qarabag
Away (3)
1.60
PPG
2.33
40%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
1.33
1.20
Conceded / game
0.33
60%
BTTS %
27%
40%
Clean sheet %
55%
20%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
6.4
0.0
Avg shots
10.4
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
0.0%
Avg possession
58.0%
Goals Scored
| Kapaz | Home | Away | Qarabag | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 60% | 81% | 90% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 40% | 57% | 70% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 50% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Kapaz | Home | Away | Qarabag | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 60% | 60% | 48% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 20% | 40% | 19% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 30% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% | 52% | 50% | 55% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kapaz | Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 24% |
| BTTS | 50% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kapaz | Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 10% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 24% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 40% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Kapaz (H)D
Zira1–1
Zira1–1D
Sumqayıt1–1
Sumqayıt1–1W
Qabala1–0
Qabala1–0L
Şamaxı FK1–4
Şamaxı FK1–4W
Turan1–0
Turan1–0L
Neftchi Baku0–1
Neftchi Baku0–1Qarabag (A)W
Imisli FK2–0
Imisli FK2–0DZira1–1
Zira1–1WSumqayıt1–0
Sumqayıt1–0W
Twente1–0
Twente1–0L
Dynamo Kyiv0–1
Dynamo Kyiv0–1D
CSKA Sofia0–0
CSKA Sofia0–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kapaz | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 6.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 29% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
2
Kapaz
6%
5
Draws
16%
24
Qarabag
77%
68%
Over 1.5
21/31
48%
Over 2.5
15/31
26%
Over 3.5
8/31
42%
BTTS
13/31
20/03/26Qarabag
Kapaz
1–0Qarabag24/01/26Kapaz
Qarabag
0–2Kapaz04/10/25Kapaz
Qarabag
1–0Kapaz18/05/25Kapaz
Qarabag
3–0Kapaz15/03/25Qarabag
Kapaz
0–0Qarabag18/10/24Qarabag
Kapaz
0–5Qarabag09/08/24Kapaz
Qarabag
3–0Kapaz29/03/24Qarabag
Kapaz
1–6Qarabag27/01/24Qarabag
Kapaz
1–2Qarabag04/11/23Kapaz
Qarabag
7–1Kapaz27/08/23Kapaz
Qarabag
1–1Kapaz09/04/23Kapaz
Qarabag
3–1Kapaz04/02/23Qarabag
Kapaz
1–1Qarabag06/11/22Kapaz
Qarabag
3–1Kapaz01/09/22Qarabag
Kapaz
0–1Qarabag14/04/18Qarabag
Kapaz
0–1Qarabag25/02/18Kapaz
Qarabag
1–0Kapaz05/11/17Qarabag
Kapaz
0–2Qarabag17/09/17Kapaz
Qarabag
2–0Kapaz02/04/17Kapaz
Qarabag
2–1KapazTeam Insights
Kapaz- ●Kapaz have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Kapaz have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Kapaz have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Kapaz have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kapaz have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Kapaz's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Qarabag- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Qarabag have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Qarabag have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●71% of Qarabag's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
KapazWA
Safa Baku2–1
Safa Baku2–1DHZira1–1
Zira1–1WA
Araz2–0
Araz2–0DHSumqayıt1–1
Sumqayıt1–1WHQabala1–0
Qabala1–0LHŞamaxı FK1–4
Şamaxı FK1–4–HImisli FK01/11
Imisli FK01/11–ANeftchi Baku06/11
Neftchi Baku06/11–HQarabag22/11
Qarabag22/11QarabagDHNeftchi Baku3–3
Neftchi Baku3–3WAImisli FK2–0
Imisli FK2–0WHSafa Baku1–0
Safa Baku1–0DAZira1–1
Zira1–1WHAraz3–2
Araz3–2WASumqayıt1–0
Sumqayıt1–0–A
Sabah FA25/10
Sabah FA25/10–AQabala31/10
Qabala31/10–HTuran06/11
Turan06/11Top Scorers
KapazBenito3 ⚽
V. Stina2 ⚽
K. Kalunga1 ⚽
R. Ohori1 ⚽
S. Seyidov1 ⚽
R. Haciyev1 ⚽
QarabagO. Kashchuk6 ⚽
J. Mouaddib6 ⚽
R. Cephas5 ⚽
Kady Borges4 ⚽
J. Montiel4 ⚽
M. Jankovic4 ⚽
Cards Given
KapazD. Verdasca3 🟨
D. Acquah2 🟨
M. Ba2 🟨
A. Samadov1 🟨
D. Domgjoni1 🟨
Benito1 🟨
QarabagM. Jankovic4 🟨
Matheus Silva3 🟨
B. Varkonyi3 🟨
C. Makreckis2 🟨
B. Langa2 🟨
S. Lobato2 🟨