Araz vs Neftchi Baku — Premyer Liqa
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Araz and Neftchi Baku meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Araz have recorded 0 wins from 9 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.78 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Neftchi Baku have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.93 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Araz and 1.63 for Neftchi Baku. The models give Araz a 22% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Neftchi Baku win at 54%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Araz—
Neftchi Baku12º
Position
2º
0.22
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
56%
0.78
Goals / game
2.44
2.11
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
47%
11%
Clean sheet %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Araz
Home (5)
—
Neftchi Baku
Away (5)
0.40
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
60%
0.60
Goals / game
2.40
1.40
Conceded / game
1.40
40%
BTTS %
38%
20%
Clean sheet %
38%
40%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Araz | Home | Away | Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 40% | 75% | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 20% | 25% | 53% | 43% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 47% | 29% | 63% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 60% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Araz | Home | Away | Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 80% | 100% | 67% | 71% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 78% | 60% | 100% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 50% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 29% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Araz | Neftchi Baku | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS | 56% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Araz | Neftchi Baku | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 7% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 22% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Araz (H)L
Qabala1–2
Qabala1–2L
Kapaz0–2
Kapaz0–2D
Turan2–2
Turan2–2L
Sabah FA0–1
Sabah FA0–1D
Imisli FK0–0
Imisli FK0–0W
Zira3–2
Zira3–2Neftchi Baku (A)D
Qarabag3–3
Qarabag3–3WQabala3–0
Qabala3–0WImisli FK3–2
Imisli FK3–2LZira0–1
Zira0–1W
Sumqayıt3–1
Sumqayıt3–1W
Dinamo Minsk1–0
Dinamo Minsk1–0Head to Head · 12 matches
4
Araz
33%
4
Draws
33%
4
Neftchi Baku
33%
75%
Over 1.5
9/12
50%
Over 2.5
6/12
25%
Over 3.5
3/12
50%
BTTS
6/12
23/08/26Araz
Neftchi Baku
5–0Araz11/04/26Araz
Neftchi Baku
2–1Araz01/02/26Neftchi Baku
Araz
0–4Neftchi Baku19/10/25Araz
Neftchi Baku
2–2Araz29/03/25Araz
Neftchi Baku
1–1Araz26/01/25Neftchi Baku
Araz
2–1Neftchi Baku01/11/24Araz
Neftchi Baku
0–1Araz24/08/24Neftchi Baku
Araz
1–1Neftchi Baku13/04/24Araz
Neftchi Baku
3–0Araz13/02/24Neftchi Baku
Araz
1–0Neftchi Baku26/11/23Araz
Neftchi Baku
1–1Araz16/09/23Neftchi Baku
Araz
1–0Neftchi BakuTeam Insights
Araz- ●Araz have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Araz have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Araz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Araz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Araz have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Araz have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Araz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Araz failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Neftchi Baku- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Neftchi Baku's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ArazLHQabala1–2
Qabala1–2LASumqayıt1–2
Sumqayıt1–2LHKapaz0–2
Kapaz0–2LA
Şamaxı FK1–2
Şamaxı FK1–2DHTuran2–2
Turan2–2LAQarabag2–3
Qarabag2–3–HZira31/10
Zira31/10–A
Safa Baku07/11
Safa Baku07/11–HNeftchi Baku22/11
Neftchi Baku22/11Neftchi BakuDHTuran1–1
Turan1–1DAQarabag3–3
Qarabag3–3DHSabah FA0–0
Sabah FA0–0WAQabala3–0
Qabala3–0WAImisli FK3–2
Imisli FK3–2WHSafa Baku4–1
Safa Baku4–1–AŞamaxı FK01/11
Şamaxı FK01/11–HKapaz06/11
Kapaz06/11–AAraz22/11
Araz22/11Top Scorers
ArazA. Salyanskiy3 ⚽
A. Fernandez1 ⚽
L. Dumancic1 ⚽
M. Mara1 ⚽
Neftchi BakuBreno Almeida11 ⚽
Gustavo Klismahn3 ⚽
A. Skribek2 ⚽
L. Tupta2 ⚽
A. Salyanskiy1 ⚽
B. Sambou1 ⚽
Cards Given
ArazM. Kane5 🟨
A. Salyanskiy4 🟨
M. Mara3 🟨
A. Fernandez2 🟨
P. Andrade2 🟨
M. Ahmadzada1 🟨
Neftchi BakuGustavo Klismahn4 🟨
F. Sacko4 🟨
E. Badalov4 🟨
L. Tupta3 🟨
A. Gravillon2 🟨
A. Skribek2 🟨