Safa Baku vs Araz — Premyer Liqa
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Safa Baku and Araz meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Safa Baku have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 0.56 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Araz have won 0% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Safa Baku and 1.25 for Araz. The models give Safa Baku a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Araz win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Safa BakuArazHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Safa Baku | Home | Away | Araz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 44% | 25% | 60% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 56% | 75% | 40% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Safa Baku | Home | Away | Araz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 80% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 60% | 78% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 40% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Safa Baku | Araz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS | 33% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Safa Baku | Araz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 11% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 78% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 22% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Safa Baku (H)
Kapaz1–2
Turan0–1
Sabah FA0–3
Imisli FK0–1
Cəbrayıl1–0
Şimal0–0Araz (A)
Sumqayıt1–2
Şamaxı FK1–2
Qarabag2–3
Neftchi Baku0–5Sumqayıt1–2
Qabala1–1Team Insights
Safa Baku- ●Safa Baku have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Safa Baku have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
Araz- ●Araz have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Araz have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Araz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Araz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Araz have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Araz have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Araz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Araz failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
Safa BakuKapaz1–2Şamaxı FK2–3Turan0–1Qarabag0–1Sabah FA0–3Neftchi Baku1–4Sumqayıt02/11Araz07/11Qabala21/11ArazQabala1–2Sumqayıt1–2Kapaz0–2Şamaxı FK1–2Turan2–2Qarabag2–3
Zira31/10Safa Baku07/11Neftchi Baku22/11Top Scorers
Safa BakuArazCards Given
Safa BakuAraz