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Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku — Premyer Liqa

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Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 10
Şamaxı FK
Şamaxı FK
7º · 1.63 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 16d 0h
vs
–
–
Neftchi Baku
Neftchi Baku
2º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 20h
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Şamaxı FK and Neftchi Baku meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Şamaxı FK have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Neftchi Baku have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.93 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Şamaxı FK and 1.60 for Neftchi Baku. The models give Şamaxı FK a 32% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Neftchi Baku win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.

Season Statistics

Şamaxı FK
—
Neftchi Baku
7º
Position
2º
1.63
PPG
2.00
38%
Win %
56%
1.50
Goals / game
2.44
1.13
Conceded / game
1.00
75%
BTTS %
47%
25%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Şamaxı FK
Home (2)
—
Neftchi Baku
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
2.00
100%
Win %
60%
2.50
Goals / game
2.40
1.50
Conceded / game
1.40
100%
BTTS %
38%
0%
Clean sheet %
38%
100%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Şamaxı FKHomeAwayNeftchi BakuHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored75%100%67%73%71%75%
Over 1.5 Scored38%100%17%53%43%63%
Over 2.5 Scored25%50%17%47%29%63%
Failed To Score25%0%33%27%29%25%

Goals Conceded

Şamaxı FKHomeAwayNeftchi BakuHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%100%67%67%71%63%
Over 1.5 Conceded25%50%17%27%29%25%
Over 2.5 Conceded13%0%17%13%14%13%
Clean Sheets25%0%33%33%29%38%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Şamaxı FKNeftchi Baku
Over 0.575%93%
Over 1.575%67%
Over 2.550%60%
Over 3.538%40%
Over 4.525%33%
BTTS75%47%
BTTS & Win38%20%
BTTS & Draw25%13%
BTTS & Over 2.550%40%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%20%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Şamaxı FKNeftchi Baku
Win 1st Half25%60%
Draw 1st Half50%33%
Loss 1st Half25%7%
Scored 1st Half38%67%
Conceded 1st Half50%27%
Win 2nd Half38%33%
Draw 2nd Half50%27%
Loss 2nd Half13%40%
Scored 2nd Half50%53%
Conceded 2nd Half50%53%
Over 0.5 HT63%73%
Over 1.5 HT38%40%

Recent Venue Form

Şamaxı FK (H)
WSafa Baku3–2
WAraz2–1
WTuran3–2
LSabah FA0–3
WKapaz2–0
DQarabag0–0
Neftchi Baku (A)
DQarabag3–3
WQabala3–0
WImisli FK3–2
LZira0–1
WSumqayıt3–1
WDinamo Minsk1–0

Head to Head · 30 matches

3
Şamaxı FK
10%
6
Draws
20%
21
Neftchi Baku
70%
73%
Over 1.5
22/30
53%
Over 2.5
16/30
27%
Over 3.5
8/30
47%
BTTS
14/30
10/05/26
Neftchi Baku
3–0
Şamaxı FK
28/02/26
Şamaxı FK
2–2
Neftchi Baku
16/08/25
Neftchi Baku
1–1
Şamaxı FK
07/04/25
Şamaxı FK
0–2
Neftchi Baku
31/01/25
Neftchi Baku
1–0
Şamaxı FK
08/11/24
Neftchi Baku
2–2
Şamaxı FK
31/08/24
Şamaxı FK
0–0
Neftchi Baku
14/05/23
Neftchi Baku
1–1
Şamaxı FK
12/03/23
Şamaxı FK
0–1
Neftchi Baku
23/12/22
Neftchi Baku
3–0
Şamaxı FK
07/08/22
Şamaxı FK
0–1
Neftchi Baku
09/04/22
Şamaxı FK
1–2
Neftchi Baku
19/02/22
Neftchi Baku
3–1
Şamaxı FK
06/11/21
Şamaxı FK
3–2
Neftchi Baku
19/09/21
Neftchi Baku
3–0
Şamaxı FK
03/05/21
Şamaxı FK
0–3
Neftchi Baku
08/03/21
Neftchi Baku
3–1
Şamaxı FK
24/12/20
Neftchi Baku
2–1
Şamaxı FK
24/10/20
Şamaxı FK
0–1
Neftchi Baku
16/02/20
Neftchi Baku
3–1
Şamaxı FK
Premyer Liqa
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Sabah FA7610+1719
2Neftchi Baku9531+1318
3Qarabag7520+717
4Turan9432+215
5Zira9432015
6Kapaz8422014
7Şamaxı FK8341+313
8Sumqayıt8224-18
9Qabala9216-117
10Imisli FK8215-67
11Safa Baku9108-123
12Araz9027-122

Team Insights

Şamaxı FK
  • ●Şamaxı FK have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
  • ●Şamaxı FK failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Şamaxı FK have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Şamaxı FK have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Şamaxı FK have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
  • ●67% of Şamaxı FK's goals conceded were conceded away.
Neftchi Baku
  • ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Neftchi Baku have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Neftchi Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Neftchi Baku have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●78% of Neftchi Baku's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Neftchi Baku have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK
WHSafa Baku11º3–2
DAZira5º1–1
WHAraz12º2–1
DASumqayıt8º1–1
WAKapaz6º4–1
DAQabala9º0–0
DATuran4º0–0
LAQarabag3º1–3
LAQabala11º1–3
WHTuran3º3–2
Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku
DHTuran4º1–1
DAQarabag3º3–3
DHSabah FA1º0–0
WAQabala9º3–0
WAImisli FK10º3–2
WHSafa Baku11º4–1
LAZira5º0–1
WHAraz12º5–0
WASumqayıt8º3–1
WADinamo Minsk1–0

Season Schedule

Şamaxı FK
WHSafa Baku3–2
DAZira1–1
WHAraz2–1
DASumqayıt1–1
WAKapaz4–1
DAQabala0–0
–AImisli FK25/10
–HNeftchi Baku01/11
–ASabah FA08/11
Neftchi Baku
DHTuran1–1
DAQarabag3–3
DHSabah FA0–0
WAQabala3–0
WAImisli FK3–2
WHSafa Baku4–1
–AŞamaxı FK01/11
–HKapaz06/11
–AAraz22/11

Top Scorers

Şamaxı FK
R. Apolinario3 ⚽
H. Ismayilov2 ⚽
E. Adilkhanov2 ⚽
T. Akhvlediani1 ⚽
A. Bouali1 ⚽
U. Cahangirov1 ⚽
Neftchi Baku
Breno Almeida11 ⚽
Gustavo Klismahn3 ⚽
A. Skribek2 ⚽
L. Tupta2 ⚽
A. Salyanskiy1 ⚽
B. Sambou1 ⚽

Cards Given

Şamaxı FK
E. Rustamov3 🟨
A. Moumini2 🟨
A. Bouali2 🟨
Jota2 🟨
R. Apolinario2 🟨
Ricardo Fernandes2 🟨
Neftchi Baku
Gustavo Klismahn4 🟨
F. Sacko4 🟨
E. Badalov4 🟨
L. Tupta3 🟨
A. Gravillon2 🟨
A. Skribek2 🟨