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Mantova vs Ascoli — Serie B

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Italy · Serie B · Regular Season - 15
Mantova
Mantova
4º · 1.80 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
–
–
Ascoli
Ascoli
3º · 1.90 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 0h
Stadio Danilo Martelli·Mantova·Italy·14,854
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Mantova and Ascoli meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Mantova have recorded 9 wins from 16 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.19 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Ascoli have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Mantova and 1.41 for Ascoli. The models give Mantova a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ascoli win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.

Season Statistics

Mantova
—
Ascoli
4º
Position
3º
1.80
PPG
1.90
50%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.60
1.10
Conceded / game
0.60
56%
BTTS %
57%
25%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
43%
3.9
Avg corners
6.2
13.0
Avg shots
13.3
5.6
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
14.6
Avg fouls
10.6
50.3%
Avg possession
62.7%

Home vs Away

Mantova
Home (5)
—
Ascoli
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
1.60
40%
Win %
40%
1.40
Goals / game
1.60
1.40
Conceded / game
0.60
38%
BTTS %
43%
25%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
43%
3.9
Avg corners
6.2
13.0
Avg shots
13.3
5.6
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
50.3%
Avg possession
62.7%

Goals Scored

MantovaHomeAwayAscoliHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored81%63%100%71%100%43%
Over 1.5 Scored63%63%63%36%43%29%
Over 2.5 Scored31%38%25%21%29%14%
Failed To Score19%38%0%29%0%57%

Goals Conceded

MantovaHomeAwayAscoliHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%75%75%71%71%71%
Over 1.5 Conceded31%50%13%14%14%14%
Over 2.5 Conceded6%0%13%7%0%14%
Clean Sheets25%25%25%29%29%29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MantovaAscoli
Over 0.5100%86%
Over 1.588%64%
Over 2.550%43%
Over 3.544%29%
Over 4.519%14%
BTTS56%57%
BTTS & Win31%29%
BTTS & Draw19%14%
BTTS & Over 2.544%43%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MantovaAscoli
Win 1st Half38%7%
Draw 1st Half50%71%
Loss 1st Half13%21%
Scored 1st Half44%29%
Conceded 1st Half19%43%
Win 2nd Half38%43%
Draw 2nd Half31%29%
Loss 2nd Half31%29%
Scored 2nd Half69%57%
Conceded 2nd Half75%36%
Over 0.5 HT56%43%
Over 1.5 HT31%29%

Recent Venue Form

Mantova (H)
LCremonese0–2
LPalermo0–2
DPisa2–2
WSampdoria2–0
WEmpoli3–1
LAthletic Carpi0–1
Ascoli (A)
DArezzo0–0
WCatanzaro6–1
DSudtirol0–0
LPadova0–1
WHellas Verona2–1
LGenoa1–4

Number of Corners

8.3
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.5
100 games
11.2
Corners / Match
11 games
Match CornersMantovaAscoliLeague Avg
Over 667%82%78%
Over 750%82%69%
Over 850%82%55%
Over 942%73%46%
Over 1017%45%33%
Over 118%45%31%
Over 128%36%22%
Over 138%27%13%

Team Corners

Team CornersMantovaAscoli
Corners Earned / Match3.96.2
Corners Against / Match4.45.0
Over 2.5 Corners For83%91%
Over 3.5 Corners For50%82%
Over 4.5 Corners For42%73%
Over 2.5 Corners Against75%82%
Over 3.5 Corners Against58%73%
Over 4.5 Corners Against58%64%
Serie B
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Palermo10820+1226
2Modena10622+820
3Ascoli10541+1019
4Mantova10532+418
5Avellino10433+515
6Benevento10433+415
7Hellas Verona10433+615
8Pisa10433+315
9Padova10424-114
10Sudtirol10352+114
11Cremonese10334-112
12Cesena10262-312
13Arezzo10325-1011
14Virtus Entella10244-110
15Carrarese10316-410
16Juve Stabia1034309
17Vicenza Virtus10235-79
18Empoli10226-78
19Sampdoria10226-88
20Catanzaro10136-116

Team Insights

Mantova
  • ●Mantova have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Mantova have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Mantova failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Mantova failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Mantova have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Mantova have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●61% of Mantova's points have been earned away.
Ascoli
  • ●Ascoli have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Ascoli have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●Ascoli have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Ascoli have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Ascoli have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
MantovaMantova
DAModena2º1–1
LHCremonese11º0–2
WAVirtus Entella14º1–0
LHPalermo1º0–2
WACatanzaro20º3–1
DHPisa8º2–2
WHSampdoria19º2–0
DACesena12º1–1
LAPalermo2–5
WHEmpoli18º3–1
AscoliAscoli
DAArezzo13º0–0
WHSampdoria19º2–0
WACatanzaro20º6–1
DHEmpoli18º1–1
DASudtirol10º0–0
WHAvellino5º3–1
LAPadova9º0–1
WHBenevento6º1–0
DHCarrarese15º1–1
WAHellas Verona7º2–1

Season Schedule

Mantova
DAModena1–1
LHCremonese0–2
WAVirtus Entella1–0
LHPalermo0–2
WACatanzaro3–1
DHPisa2–2
–HHellas Verona07/11
–AAvellino21/11
–HArezzo24/11
Ascoli
DAArezzo0–0
WHSampdoria2–0
WACatanzaro6–1
DHEmpoli1–1
DASudtirol0–0
WHAvellino3–1
–HPalermo06/11
–HVicenza Virtus21/11
–ACesena24/11

Top Scorers

Mantova
F. Ruocco8 ⚽
4 ⚽
Francesco Ruocco4 ⚽
F. Chinetti2 ⚽
Ettore Gliozzi2 ⚽
Davide Bragantini1 ⚽
Ascoli
Andrea·Silipo3 ⚽
A. Silipo2 ⚽
Gabriele Gori2 ⚽
G. Gori2 ⚽
G. Corradini1 ⚽
Federico Gattoni1 ⚽

Cards Given

Mantova
Francesco Modesto4 🟨
Stefano Cella4 🟨
Simone Trimboli3 🟨
B. Tomasevic2 🟨
Fahem Benaissa Yahia2 🟨
Alessio Castellini2 🟨
Ascoli
Nicholas Rizzo4 🟨
Abdoul Guiebre3 🟨
Federico Gattoni2 🟨
G. Corradini2 🟨
A. Guiebre2 🟨
S. D'Uffizi2 🟨