Cesena vs Carrarese — Serie B
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Cesena and Carrarese meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Cesena have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Carrarese have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 0.77 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Cesena and 1.05 for Carrarese. The models give Cesena a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Carrarese win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cesena | Home | Away | Carrarese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 100% | 43% | 54% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 14% | 23% | 40% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 0% | 57% | 46% | 40% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Cesena | Home | Away | Carrarese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 63% | 86% | 85% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 13% | 43% | 31% | 20% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 29% | 8% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 38% | 14% | 15% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cesena | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 7% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 53% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cesena | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 15% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Cesena | Carrarese | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 73% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 91% | 55% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 45% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 45% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 36% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 36% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 27% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 27% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cesena | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 64% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 91% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 91% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 73% | 55% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 26 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 19 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -3 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 | |
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Cesena failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Cesena have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cesena failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cesena have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cesena failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cesena failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Cesena failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Cesena's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Cesena have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Carrarese have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Carrarese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carrarese have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Carrarese failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Carrarese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.

