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Cesena vs Carrarese — Serie B

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Cesena
Cesena
12º · 1.20 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
–
–
Carrarese
Carrarese
15º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 33d 21h
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Cesena and Carrarese meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Cesena have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Carrarese have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 0.77 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 15%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Cesena and 1.05 for Carrarese. The models give Cesena a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Carrarese win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 51%.

Season Statistics

Cesena
—
Carrarese
12º
Position
15º
1.20
PPG
1.00
20%
Win %
30%
1.10
Goals / game
0.90
1.40
Conceded / game
1.30
53%
BTTS %
38%
27%
Clean sheet %
15%
47%
Over 2.5 %
38%
4.4
Avg corners
4.9
12.7
Avg shots
12.5
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.1
13.3
Avg fouls
14.3
44.4%
Avg possession
43.8%

Home vs Away

Cesena
Home (5)
—
Carrarese
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
0.80
20%
Win %
20%
1.40
Goals / game
0.80
1.20
Conceded / game
1.40
63%
BTTS %
25%
38%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
25%
4.4
Avg corners
4.9
12.7
Avg shots
12.5
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.1
44.4%
Avg possession
43.8%

Goals Scored

CesenaHomeAwayCarrareseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%100%43%54%60%50%
Over 1.5 Scored33%50%14%23%40%13%
Over 2.5 Scored13%25%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score27%0%57%46%40%50%

Goals Conceded

CesenaHomeAwayCarrareseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded73%63%86%85%100%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded27%13%43%31%20%38%
Over 2.5 Conceded13%0%29%8%0%13%
Clean Sheets27%38%14%15%0%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CesenaCarrarese
Over 0.593%100%
Over 1.587%62%
Over 2.547%38%
Over 3.57%0%
Over 4.50%0%
BTTS53%38%
BTTS & Win13%15%
BTTS & Draw40%8%
BTTS & Over 2.520%31%
BTTS No & Over 2.527%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CesenaCarrarese
Win 1st Half47%15%
Draw 1st Half20%46%
Loss 1st Half33%38%
Scored 1st Half47%15%
Conceded 1st Half40%38%
Win 2nd Half33%23%
Draw 2nd Half33%54%
Loss 2nd Half33%23%
Scored 2nd Half53%54%
Conceded 2nd Half47%62%
Over 0.5 HT80%54%
Over 1.5 HT20%15%

Recent Venue Form

Cesena (H)
WEmpoli2–1
DAvellino1–1
DCremonese2–2
DMantova1–1
DSampdoria1–1
WVis Pesaro3–0
Carrarese (A)
LHellas Verona0–3
LPalermo1–2
WPadova2–0
LCatanzaro0–1
DAscoli1–1
LTorino0–1

Number of Corners

9.9
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.5
100 games
9.7
Corners / Match
11 games
Match CornersCesenaCarrareseLeague Avg
Over 691%73%78%
Over 791%55%69%
Over 864%45%55%
Over 955%45%46%
Over 1036%36%33%
Over 1136%36%31%
Over 129%27%22%
Over 139%27%13%

Team Corners

Team CornersCesenaCarrarese
Corners Earned / Match4.44.9
Corners Against / Match5.54.8
Over 2.5 Corners For64%64%
Over 3.5 Corners For64%55%
Over 4.5 Corners For55%45%
Over 2.5 Corners Against91%82%
Over 3.5 Corners Against91%64%
Over 4.5 Corners Against73%55%

Head to Head · 10 matches

4
Cesena
40%
3
Draws
30%
3
Carrarese
30%
90%
Over 1.5
9/10
60%
Over 2.5
6/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
70%
BTTS
7/10
01/05/26
Carrarese
0–0
Cesena
28/10/25
Cesena
2–1
Carrarese
29/12/24
Carrarese
2–0
Cesena
18/08/24
Cesena
2–1
Carrarese
05/03/24
Carrarese
3–2
Cesena
30/10/23
Cesena
2–1
Carrarese
23/12/22
Carrarese
1–1
Cesena
04/09/22
Cesena
1–2
Carrarese
14/04/22
Cesena
6–0
Carrarese
12/12/21
Carrarese
1–1
Cesena
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Palermo10820+1226
2Modena10622+820
3Ascoli10541+1019
4Mantova10532+418
5Avellino10433+515
6Benevento10433+415
7Hellas Verona10433+615
8Pisa10433+315
9Padova10424-114
10Sudtirol10352+114
11Cremonese10334-112
12Cesena10262-312
13Arezzo10325-1011
14Virtus Entella10244-110
15Carrarese10316-410
16Juve Stabia1034309
17Vicenza Virtus10235-79
18Empoli10226-78
19Sampdoria10226-88
20Catanzaro10136-116

Team Insights

Cesena
  • ●Cesena failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Cesena have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Cesena failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Cesena have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Cesena failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Cesena failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Cesena failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●64% of Cesena's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Cesena have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Carrarese
  • ●Carrarese have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Carrarese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Carrarese have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Carrarese failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Carrarese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
DASudtirol10º1–1
WHEmpoli18º2–1
LAModena2º0–3
DHAvellino5º1–1
LABenevento6º0–2
DAJuve Stabia16º1–1
DHCremonese11º2–2
DHMantova4º1–1
WAVirtus Entella14º2–1
DHSampdoria19º1–1
LAHellas Verona7º0–3
WHArezzo13º2–1
LAPalermo1º1–2
WHModena2º2–1
WAPadova9º2–0
LHBenevento6º0–1
LACatanzaro20º0–1
LHEmpoli18º0–1
DAAscoli3º1–1
LHMantova4º1–2

Season Schedule

Cesena
DASudtirol1–1
WHEmpoli2–1
LAModena0–3
DHAvellino1–1
LABenevento0–2
DAJuve Stabia1–1
–HCatanzaro07/11
–AHellas Verona21/11
–HAscoli24/11
Carrarese
LAHellas Verona0–3
WHArezzo2–1
LAPalermo1–2
WHModena2–1
WAPadova2–0
LHBenevento0–1
–HSampdoria08/11
–HVirtus Entella21/11
–AVicenza Virtus24/11

Top Scorers

Cesena
Cristian Shpendi6 ⚽
C. Shpendi3 ⚽
X. Druiventak2 ⚽
F. Bertaccini1 ⚽
M. Casadei1 ⚽
R. Pagano1 ⚽
Carrarese
Tommaso Rubino3 ⚽
F. Ruggeri1 ⚽
Fabio abiuso1 ⚽
Gabriele parlanti1 ⚽
F. Abiuso1 ⚽
Luka Topalovic1 ⚽

Cards Given

Cesena
A. David4 🟨
Mihajlo Ilic3 🟨
Gianluca Frabotta3 🟨
C. Shpendi2 🟨
Antonio Fiori2 🟨
Cristian Shpendi2 🟨
Carrarese
Filippo Oliana5 🟨
Gabriele parlanti3 🟨
Jonas Rouhi2 🟨
Fabio abiuso2 🟨
G. Marconi2 🟨
Luka Topalovic2 🟨