Modena vs Padova — Serie B
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Stadio Alberto Braglia·Modena·Italy·21,151
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Modena and Padova meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Modena have recorded 8 wins from 15 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Padova have won 33% of their 15 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Modena and 1.20 for Padova. The models give Modena a 50% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Padova win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Modena—
Padova2º
Position
9º
2.00
PPG
1.40
60%
Win %
40%
1.80
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.10
53%
BTTS %
53%
33%
Clean sheet %
33%
60%
Over 2.5 %
40%
5.0
Avg corners
4.2
17.4
Avg shots
10.3
5.0
Avg shots on target
2.9
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.3
Avg fouls
12.6
59.0%
Avg possession
42.2%
Home vs Away
Modena
Home (5)
—
Padova
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.40
60%
Win %
40%
1.80
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.20
43%
BTTS %
56%
43%
Clean sheet %
33%
57%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.0
Avg corners
4.2
17.4
Avg shots
10.3
5.0
Avg shots on target
2.9
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.1
59.0%
Avg possession
42.2%
Goals Scored
| Modena | Home | Away | Padova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 71% | 88% | 87% | 83% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 57% | 50% | 20% | 17% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 43% | 13% | 7% | 0% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 29% | 13% | 13% | 17% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Modena | Home | Away | Padova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 57% | 75% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 14% | 25% | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 13% | 27% | 17% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 43% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Modena | Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS | 53% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Modena | Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Modena (H)D
Mantova1–1
Mantova1–1W
Cesena3–0
Cesena3–0W
Hellas Verona3–2
Hellas Verona3–2W
Empoli2–1
Empoli2–1L
Avellino0–1
Avellino0–1D
Vis Pesaro0–0
Vis Pesaro0–0Padova (A)D
Catanzaro1–1
Catanzaro1–1WAvellino1–0
Avellino1–0L
Palermo1–2
Palermo1–2L
Cremonese1–3
Cremonese1–3W
Pisa1–0
Pisa1–0L
Udinese0–1
Udinese0–1Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.5
100 games
10.5
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Modena | Padova | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 90% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 90% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 70% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 60% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 30% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 30% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 30% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 10% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Modena | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 6.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 70% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
3
Modena
38%
0
Draws
0%
5
Padova
63%
38%
Over 1.5
3/8
25%
Over 2.5
2/8
0%
Over 3.5
0/8
13%
BTTS
1/8
28/02/26Padova
Modena
1–2Padova11/01/26Modena
Padova
2–0Modena18/04/21Padova
Modena
3–0Padova23/12/20Modena
Padova
0–1Modena19/01/20Modena
Padova
0–1Modena09/09/19Padova
Modena
0–1Padova19/03/17Padova
Modena
0–1Padova29/10/16Modena
Padova
1–0Modena| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 26 |
| 2 | Modena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Avellino | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 | Pisa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Sudtirol | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
Modena- ●Modena have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Modena have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Modena have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Modena have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Modena have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Modena failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Modena failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Modena have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Modena have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Modena have conceded 80% of their goals in the first half.
Padova- ●Padova have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Padova have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Padova have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Padova have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ModenaDHMantova1–1
Mantova1–1WAVicenza Virtus2–1
Vicenza Virtus2–1WHCesena3–0
Cesena3–0LACarrarese1–2
Carrarese1–2WHHellas Verona3–2
Hellas Verona3–2WHEmpoli2–1
Empoli2–1–AVirtus Entella08/11
Virtus Entella08/11–HJuve Stabia21/11
Juve Stabia21/11–APisa24/11
Pisa24/11PadovaDACatanzaro1–1
Catanzaro1–1WHSudtirol2–0
Sudtirol2–0WAAvellino1–0
Avellino1–0LHVirtus Entella1–2
Virtus Entella1–2LHCarrarese0–2
Carrarese0–2LAPalermo1–2
Palermo1–2–HEmpoli07/11
Empoli07/11–AArezzo21/11
Arezzo21/11–HSampdoria24/11
Sampdoria24/11Top Scorers
ModenaAndrea Belotti7 ⚽
G. Caso4 ⚽
Giuseppe Ambrosino3 ⚽
G. Ambrosino2 ⚽
G. Olzer2 ⚽
P. Mendes1 ⚽
PadovaK. Lasagna2 ⚽
G. Caprari2 ⚽
Emanuele Zuelli1 ⚽
Gabriele Artistico1 ⚽
Christian Pastina1 ⚽
Alessandro Capelli1 ⚽
Cards Given
ModenaAlessandro Bianco3 🟨
G. Olzer2 🟨
Andrea Belotti1 🟨
D. Tonoli1 🟨
Daniel Tonoli1 🟨
Antonio Imputato1 🟨
PadovaPietro Fusi3 🟨
Alessandro Dellavalle3 🟨
Giovanni·Giunti3 🟨
Matteo Cocchi2 🟨
G. Giunti2 🟨
C. Pastina1 🟨