Avellino vs Mantova — Serie B
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Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi·Avellino·Italy·26,308
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Avellino and Mantova meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Avellino have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.85 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Mantova have won 64% of their 14 matches, with 2.43 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Avellino and 1.51 for Mantova. The models give Avellino a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Mantova win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Avellino—
Mantova8º
Position
2º
1.38
PPG
2.13
38%
Win %
63%
1.50
Goals / game
1.75
1.13
Conceded / game
1.00
62%
BTTS %
57%
23%
Clean sheet %
29%
62%
Over 2.5 %
57%
3.1
Avg corners
3.5
12.7
Avg shots
12.4
4.1
Avg shots on target
5.5
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.9
10.1
Avg fouls
13.9
50.1%
Avg possession
49.1%
Home vs Away
Avellino
Home (5)
—
Mantova
Away (4)
1.40
PPG
2.50
40%
Win %
75%
1.80
Goals / game
1.75
1.00
Conceded / game
0.75
71%
BTTS %
71%
14%
Clean sheet %
29%
57%
Over 2.5 %
57%
3.1
Avg corners
3.5
12.7
Avg shots
12.4
4.1
Avg shots on target
5.5
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.9
50.1%
Avg possession
49.1%
Goals Scored
| Avellino | Home | Away | Mantova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 86% | 83% | 86% | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 43% | 33% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 43% | 33% | 36% | 43% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 29% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Avellino | Home | Away | Mantova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 86% | 67% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 14% | 50% | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 0% | 50% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 14% | 33% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Avellino | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 21% |
| BTTS | 62% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Avellino | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 54% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 15% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 7% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Avellino (H)L
Padova0–1
Padova0–1W
Sampdoria4–1
Sampdoria4–1D
Palermo1–1
Palermo1–1W
Vicenza Virtus3–0
Vicenza Virtus3–0L
Arezzo1–2
Arezzo1–2D
Torino1–1
Torino1–1Mantova (A)W
Virtus Entella1–0
Virtus Entella1–0W
Catanzaro3–1
Catanzaro3–1D
Cesena1–1
Cesena1–1LPalermo2–5
Palermo2–5W
Carrarese2–1
Carrarese2–1W
Lazio2–0
Lazio2–0Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.5
78 games
8.6
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Avellino | Mantova | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 56% | 60% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 44% | 60% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 20% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 10% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 10% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 10% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Avellino | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 33% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 33% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 22% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 70% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Avellino
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Mantova
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
18/04/26Avellino
Mantova
0–2Avellino04/10/25Mantova
Avellino
0–0Mantova| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Hellas Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Avellino- ●Avellino failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Avellino failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Avellino's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Avellino have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.
Mantova- ●Mantova have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Mantova have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
AvellinoLHPadova0–1
Padova0–1DACesena1–1
Cesena1–1WHSampdoria4–1
Sampdoria4–1LAAscoli1–3
Ascoli1–3DHPalermo1–1
Palermo1–1WAModena1–0
Modena1–0–AVirtus Entella27/10
Virtus Entella27/10–HPisa01/11
Pisa01/11–ABenevento07/11
Benevento07/11MantovaWAVirtus Entella1–0
Virtus Entella1–0LHPalermo0–2
Palermo0–2WACatanzaro3–1
Catanzaro3–1DHPisa2–2
Pisa2–2WHSampdoria2–0
Sampdoria2–0DACesena1–1
Cesena1–1–HCremonese27/10
Cremonese27/10–AModena31/10
Modena31/10–HHellas Verona07/11
Hellas Verona07/11Top Scorers
AvellinoMichele Besaggio2 ⚽
Raffaele Russo2 ⚽
M. Besaggio2 ⚽
L. Di Maggio2 ⚽
R. Russo2 ⚽
T. Biasci2 ⚽
MantovaF. Ruocco8 ⚽
4 ⚽
Francesco Ruocco4 ⚽
F. Chinetti2 ⚽
Ettore Gliozzi2 ⚽
Davide Bragantini1 ⚽
Cards Given
AvellinoMichele Besaggio2 🟨
Michael Venturi2 🟨
M. Besaggio2 🟨
Armando Izzo1 🟨
D. Sounas1 🟨
Brando Moruzzi1 🟨
MantovaFrancesco Modesto4 🟨
Stefano Cella3 🟨
B. Tomasevic2 🟨
Fahem Benaissa Yahia2 🟨
F. Modesto1 🟨
F. Bardi1 🟨