Carrarese vs Sampdoria — Serie B
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Stadio dei Marmi·Carrara·Italy·4,975
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Carrarese and Sampdoria meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Carrarese have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Sampdoria have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Carrarese and 1.09 for Sampdoria. The models give Carrarese a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Sampdoria win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Carrarese—
Sampdoria17º
Position
19º
1.00
PPG
0.63
29%
Win %
13%
0.86
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
30%
BTTS %
62%
20%
Clean sheet %
23%
20%
Over 2.5 %
46%
4.3
Avg corners
5.9
11.0
Avg shots
14.8
3.4
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.9
14.3
Avg fouls
11.3
38.5%
Avg possession
48.4%
Home vs Away
Carrarese
Home (4)
—
Sampdoria
Away (5)
0.75
PPG
0.40
25%
Win %
0%
0.75
Goals / game
0.80
1.25
Conceded / game
2.20
50%
BTTS %
57%
0%
Clean sheet %
14%
50%
Over 2.5 %
29%
4.3
Avg corners
5.9
11.0
Avg shots
14.8
3.4
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.9
38.5%
Avg possession
48.4%
Goals Scored
| Carrarese | Home | Away | Sampdoria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 17% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Carrarese | Home | Away | Sampdoria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 100% | 67% | 77% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 25% | 17% | 54% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Carrarese | Sampdoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS | 30% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Carrarese | Sampdoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 10% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Carrarese (H)W
Modena2–1
Modena2–1L
Benevento0–1
Benevento0–1L
Empoli0–1
Empoli0–1L
Mantova1–2
Mantova1–2D
Cesena0–0
Cesena0–0D
Pescara2–2
Pescara2–2Sampdoria (A)D
Sudtirol1–1
Sudtirol1–1L
Avellino1–4
Avellino1–4LMantova0–2
Mantova0–2L
Palermo1–3
Palermo1–3DCesena1–1
Cesena1–1L
Cremonese0–2
Cremonese0–2Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.5
78 games
8.9
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Carrarese | Sampdoria | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 78% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 56% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 38% | 56% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 33% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 22% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 22% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 11% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 11% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Carrarese | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 38% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 33% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Carrarese
50%
1
Draws
25%
1
Sampdoria
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
25%
Over 2.5
1/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
18/03/26Sampdoria
Carrarese
2–0Sampdoria07/12/25Carrarese
Sampdoria
3–2Carrarese25/04/25Sampdoria
Carrarese
1–0Sampdoria26/12/24Carrarese
Sampdoria
1–1Carrarese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 |  Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Hellas Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Carrarese- ●Carrarese have won their last 2 matches.
Sampdoria- ●Sampdoria have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Sampdoria failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Sampdoria failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sampdoria failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Sampdoria's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Sampdoria have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
CarrareseWHModena2–1
Modena2–1WAPadova2–0
Padova2–0LHBenevento0–1
Benevento0–1LACatanzaro0–1
Catanzaro0–1LHEmpoli0–1
Empoli0–1DAAscoli1–1
Ascoli1–1–APalermo25/10
Palermo25/10–HArezzo28/10
Arezzo28/10–AHellas Verona01/11
Hellas Verona01/11SampdoriaDASudtirol1–1
Sudtirol1–1LHArezzo1–2
Arezzo1–2LAAvellino1–4
Avellino1–4WHCatanzaro2–1
Catanzaro2–1LAMantova0–2
Mantova0–2LAPalermo1–3
Palermo1–3–AAscoli27/10
Ascoli27/10–HVirtus Entella31/10
Virtus Entella31/10–ACarrarese08/11
Carrarese08/11Top Scorers
CarrareseTommaso Rubino2 ⚽
F. Abiuso1 ⚽
F. Ruggeri1 ⚽
Fabio abiuso1 ⚽
Jonas Rouhi1 ⚽
P. Pinelli1 ⚽
SampdoriaLorenzo Insigne3 ⚽
G. Tutino3 ⚽
Liam Henderson1 ⚽
O. Abildgaard1 ⚽
T. Lauritsen1 ⚽
Tjas Begic1 ⚽
Cards Given
CarrareseFilippo Oliana4 🟨
Gabriele parlanti3 🟨
Fabio Andrea1 🟨
Fabio abiuso1 🟨
G. Marconi1 🟨
F. Ruggeri1 🟨
SampdoriaLiam Henderson4 🟨
Stefan Gartenmann2 🟨
Lorenzo Insigne2 🟨
M. Cicconi2 🟨
Manuel Cicconi2 🟨
L. Henderson1 🟨