Ascoli vs Palermo — Serie B
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Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca·Ascoli Piceno·Italy·20,853
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Ascoli and Palermo meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Ascoli have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Palermo have won 67% of their 15 matches, with 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Ascoli and 1.66 for Palermo. The models give Ascoli a 34% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Palermo win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Ascoli—
Palermo4º
Position
1º
1.88
PPG
2.71
50%
Win %
86%
1.75
Goals / game
2.29
0.75
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
53%
17%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
47%
6.2
Avg corners
3.9
14.2
Avg shots
16.8
4.4
Avg shots on target
6.6
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
10.4
Avg fouls
12.4
61.1%
Avg possession
49.6%
Home vs Away
Ascoli
Home (4)
—
Palermo
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
2.50
50%
Win %
75%
1.50
Goals / game
2.50
0.75
Conceded / game
1.25
83%
BTTS %
43%
17%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
29%
6.2
Avg corners
3.9
14.2
Avg shots
16.8
4.4
Avg shots on target
6.6
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
61.1%
Avg possession
49.6%
Goals Scored
| Ascoli | Home | Away | Palermo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 87% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 75% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% | 13% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Ascoli | Home | Away | Palermo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 83% | 83% | 67% | 63% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 17% | 17% | 33% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 17% | 17% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ascoli | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 27% |
| BTTS | 67% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ascoli | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 53% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Ascoli (H)D
Empoli1–1
Empoli1–1W
Avellino3–1
Avellino3–1W
Benevento1–0
Benevento1–0D
Carrarese1–1
Carrarese1–1W
Potenza3–1
Potenza3–1L
Lazio1–2
Lazio1–2Palermo (A)W
Mantova2–0
Mantova2–0WEmpoli4–2
Empoli4–2DAvellino1–1
Avellino1–1W
Arezzo3–2
Arezzo3–2L
Juventus0–2
Juventus0–2W
Melbourne City2–0
Melbourne City2–0Number of Corners
11.6
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.5
78 games
9.3
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Ascoli | Palermo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 67% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 44% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 89% | 44% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 78% | 44% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 33% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 22% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 11% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ascoli | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.2 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 89% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 78% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 78% | 56% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Ascoli
13%
2
Draws
25%
5
Palermo
63%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
75%
Over 2.5
6/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
63%
BTTS
5/8
05/05/24Ascoli
Palermo
2–2Ascoli16/09/23Palermo
Ascoli
0–1Palermo29/01/23Palermo
Ascoli
1–2Palermo27/08/22Ascoli
Palermo
2–3Ascoli04/05/19Palermo
Ascoli
1–2Palermo27/12/18Ascoli
Palermo
3–0Ascoli27/02/18Ascoli
Palermo
4–1Ascoli30/09/17Palermo
Ascoli
0–0Palermo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 |  Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Hellas Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 15 |  Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Ascoli- ●Ascoli have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Ascoli have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ascoli have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Palermo- ●Palermo have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Palermo have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Palermo have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Palermo have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Palermo have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Palermo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●62% of Palermo's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
AscoliWACatanzaro6–1
Catanzaro6–1DHEmpoli1–1
Empoli1–1DASudtirol0–0
Sudtirol0–0WHAvellino3–1
Avellino3–1LAPadova0–1
Padova0–1WHBenevento1–0
Benevento1–0–HSampdoria27/10
Sampdoria27/10–AArezzo01/11
Arezzo01/11–HPalermo06/11
Palermo06/11PalermoWAMantova2–0
Mantova2–0WAEmpoli4–2
Empoli4–2WHPadova2–1
Padova2–1DAAvellino1–1
Avellino1–1WHSampdoria3–1
Sampdoria3–1WAArezzo3–2
Arezzo3–2–HCarrarese25/10
Carrarese25/10–APisa28/10
Pisa28/10–HVicenza Virtus01/11
Vicenza Virtus01/11Top Scorers
AscoliGabriele Gori2 ⚽
A. Silipo2 ⚽
Andrea·Silipo2 ⚽
G. Gori2 ⚽
G. Corradini1 ⚽
Federico Gattoni1 ⚽
PalermoJoel Pohjanpalo4 ⚽
D. Johnsen3 ⚽
Antonio Palumbo3 ⚽
Dennis Johnsen3 ⚽
Dominic Vavassori2 ⚽
E. Gyasi2 ⚽
Cards Given
AscoliNicholas Rizzo4 🟨
2 🟨
G. Corradini2 🟨
A. Guiebre2 🟨
S. D'Uffizi2 🟨
Gabriele Gori1 🟨
PalermoMattia Bani3 🟨
Filippo·Ranocchia2 🟨
Antonio Palumbo1 🟨
E. Gyasi1 🟨
G. Strefezza1 🟨
J. Segre1 🟨