Modena vs Mantova — Serie B
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Stadio Alberto Braglia·Modena·Italy·21,151
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Modena and Mantova meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Modena have recorded 7 wins from 13 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.77 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Mantova have won 64% of their 14 matches, with 2.43 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Modena and 1.50 for Mantova. The models give Modena a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Mantova win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Modena—
Mantova3º
Position
2º
2.00
PPG
2.13
63%
Win %
63%
1.88
Goals / game
1.75
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
46%
BTTS %
57%
38%
Clean sheet %
29%
62%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.8
Avg corners
3.5
19.3
Avg shots
12.4
5.6
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
10.9
Avg fouls
13.9
60.4%
Avg possession
49.1%
Home vs Away
Modena
Home (4)
—
Mantova
Away (4)
2.25
PPG
2.50
75%
Win %
75%
2.00
Goals / game
1.75
1.00
Conceded / game
0.75
33%
BTTS %
71%
50%
Clean sheet %
29%
67%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.8
Avg corners
3.5
19.3
Avg shots
12.4
5.6
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
60.4%
Avg possession
49.1%
Goals Scored
| Modena | Home | Away | Mantova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 67% | 86% | 86% | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 67% | 43% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 14% | 36% | 43% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 33% | 14% | 14% | 29% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Modena | Home | Away | Mantova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 50% | 71% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 17% | 29% | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 14% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 50% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Modena | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 21% |
| BTTS | 46% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Modena | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 7% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 23% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Modena (H)W
Cesena3–0
Cesena3–0W
Hellas Verona3–2
Hellas Verona3–2W
Empoli2–1
Empoli2–1L
Avellino0–1
Avellino0–1D
Vis Pesaro0–0
Vis Pesaro0–0W
Virtus Bolzano5–0
Virtus Bolzano5–0Mantova (A)W
Virtus Entella1–0
Virtus Entella1–0W
Catanzaro3–1
Catanzaro3–1DCesena1–1
Cesena1–1L
Palermo2–5
Palermo2–5W
Carrarese2–1
Carrarese2–1W
Lazio2–0
Lazio2–0Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.5
78 games
8.6
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Modena | Mantova | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 60% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 60% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 20% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 10% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 10% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 10% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Modena | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 38% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 38% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 70% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
4
Modena
50%
3
Draws
38%
1
Mantova
13%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
21/03/26Mantova
Modena
2–1Mantova20/09/25Modena
Mantova
1–3Modena01/02/25Mantova
Modena
3–1Mantova30/11/24Modena
Mantova
0–0Modena14/03/21Mantova
Modena
1–1Mantova16/11/20Modena
Mantova
0–0Modena30/04/17Mantova
Modena
2–0Mantova11/12/16Modena
Mantova
1–0Modena| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Hellas Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Modena- ●Modena have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Modena have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Modena have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Modena have conceded 88% of their goals in the first half.
Mantova- ●Mantova have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Mantova have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
ModenaWHCesena3–0
Cesena3–0LACarrarese1–2
Carrarese1–2WHHellas Verona3–2
Hellas Verona3–2WHEmpoli2–1
Empoli2–1DASudtirol1–1
Sudtirol1–1LHAvellino0–1
Avellino0–1–AVicenza Virtus27/10
Vicenza Virtus27/10–HMantova31/10
Mantova31/10–AVirtus Entella08/11
Virtus Entella08/11MantovaWAVirtus Entella1–0
Virtus Entella1–0LHPalermo0–2
Palermo0–2WACatanzaro3–1
Catanzaro3–1DHPisa2–2
Pisa2–2WHSampdoria2–0
Sampdoria2–0DACesena1–1
Cesena1–1–HCremonese27/10
Cremonese27/10–AModena31/10
Modena31/10–HHellas Verona07/11
Hellas Verona07/11Top Scorers
ModenaAndrea Belotti5 ⚽
G. Caso4 ⚽
Giuseppe Ambrosino2 ⚽
G. Ambrosino2 ⚽
G. Olzer2 ⚽
P. Mendes1 ⚽
MantovaF. Ruocco8 ⚽
4 ⚽
Francesco Ruocco4 ⚽
F. Chinetti2 ⚽
Ettore Gliozzi2 ⚽
Davide Bragantini1 ⚽
Cards Given
ModenaG. Olzer2 🟨
Alessandro Bianco2 🟨
Andrea Belotti1 🟨
Daniel Tonoli1 🟨
Francesco Zampano1 🟨
D. Tonoli1 🟨
MantovaFrancesco Modesto4 🟨
Stefano Cella3 🟨
B. Tomasevic2 🟨
Fahem Benaissa Yahia2 🟨
F. Modesto1 🟨
F. Bardi1 🟨