Mantova vs Cremonese — Serie B
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Stadio Danilo Martelli·Mantova·Italy·14,854
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Mantova and Cremonese meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Mantova have recorded 9 wins from 14 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 2.43 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Cremonese have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Mantova and 1.18 for Cremonese. The models give Mantova a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Cremonese win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Mantova—
Cremonese2º
Position
18º
2.13
PPG
0.75
63%
Win %
13%
1.75
Goals / game
0.75
1.00
Conceded / game
1.38
57%
BTTS %
33%
29%
Clean sheet %
47%
57%
Over 2.5 %
40%
3.5
Avg corners
4.3
12.4
Avg shots
10.9
5.5
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.4
13.9
Avg fouls
10.1
49.1%
Avg possession
52.5%
Home vs Away
Mantova
Home (4)
—
Cremonese
Away (4)
1.75
PPG
0.50
50%
Win %
0%
1.75
Goals / game
0.75
1.25
Conceded / game
1.50
43%
BTTS %
43%
29%
Clean sheet %
43%
57%
Over 2.5 %
43%
3.5
Avg corners
4.3
12.4
Avg shots
10.9
5.5
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.4
49.1%
Avg possession
52.5%
Goals Scored
| Mantova | Home | Away | Cremonese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 71% | 100% | 60% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 71% | 71% | 71% | 40% | 38% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 43% | 29% | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 29% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Mantova | Home | Away | Cremonese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 71% | 71% | 53% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 43% | 14% | 27% | 13% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 29% | 29% | 47% | 50% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mantova | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 7% |
| BTTS | 57% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mantova | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 7% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 14% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Mantova (H)L
Palermo0–2
Palermo0–2D
Pisa2–2
Pisa2–2W
Sampdoria2–0
Sampdoria2–0W
Empoli3–1
Empoli3–1L
Athletic Carpi0–1
Athletic Carpi0–1W
Alcione6–2
Alcione6–2Cremonese (A)LPisa1–3
Pisa1–3D
Arezzo0–0
Arezzo0–0W
Juventus1–0
Juventus1–0W
Monza3–2
Monza3–2D
Cesena2–2
Cesena2–2W
Parma2–0
Parma2–0Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.5
78 games
8.8
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Mantova | Cremonese | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 60% | 60% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 60% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 40% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 20% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 10% | 20% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 20% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 20% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Mantova | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 70% | 40% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Mantova
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Cremonese
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
25/04/25Mantova
Cremonese
4–2Mantova09/11/24Cremonese
Mantova
1–0Cremonese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 | Pisa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 |  Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Hellas Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Mantova- ●Mantova have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Mantova have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Cremonese- ●Cremonese have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Cremonese have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MantovaWAVirtus Entella1–0
Virtus Entella1–0LHPalermo0–2
Palermo0–2WACatanzaro3–1
Catanzaro3–1DHPisa2–2
Pisa2–2WHSampdoria2–0
Sampdoria2–0DACesena1–1
Cesena1–1–HCremonese27/10
Cremonese27/10–AModena31/10
Modena31/10–HHellas Verona07/11
Hellas Verona07/11CremoneseLHJuve Stabia0–1
Juve Stabia0–1LAPisa1–3
Pisa1–3DAArezzo0–0
Arezzo0–0DHVirtus Entella0–0
Virtus Entella0–0DACesena2–2
Cesena2–2WHPadova3–1
Padova3–1–AMantova27/10
Mantova27/10–HBenevento31/10
Benevento31/10–AVicenza Virtus08/11
Vicenza Virtus08/11Top Scorers
MantovaF. Ruocco8 ⚽
4 ⚽
Francesco Ruocco4 ⚽
F. Chinetti2 ⚽
Ettore Gliozzi2 ⚽
Davide Bragantini1 ⚽
CremoneseFederico Bonazzoli3 ⚽
D. Stuckler2 ⚽
Adin Ličina2 ⚽
M. Collocolo1 ⚽
M. De Luca1 ⚽
Michele Collocolo1 ⚽
Cards Given
MantovaFrancesco Modesto4 🟨
Stefano Cella3 🟨
B. Tomasevic2 🟨
Fahem Benaissa Yahia2 🟨
F. Modesto1 🟨
F. Bardi1 🟨
CremoneseJ. Vandeputte2 🟨
Fabio Pecchia2 🟨
Giuseppe Pezzella2 🟨
F. Gerli2 🟨
Andrea Fulignati1 🟨
F. Bonazzoli1 🟨