Boden vs Lucksta — Division 2 - Norrland
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Boden and Lucksta meet in the Division 2 - Norrland 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Boden have recorded 7 wins from 20 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.35 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Lucksta have won 33% of their 21 matches, with 1.76 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Boden and 1.81 for Lucksta. The models give Boden a 45% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Lucksta win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Boden—
Lucksta4º
Position
3º
1.42
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
42%
1.25
Goals / game
2.17
1.17
Conceded / game
2.17
65%
BTTS %
71%
25%
Clean sheet %
14%
45%
Over 2.5 %
76%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Boden
Home (6)
—
Lucksta
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
1.50
Goals / game
2.33
1.50
Conceded / game
2.17
80%
BTTS %
82%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Boden | Home | Away | Lucksta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 80% | 86% | 90% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 60% | 20% | 48% | 60% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 10% | 0% | 33% | 40% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Boden | Home | Away | Lucksta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 80% | 70% | 86% | 70% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 50% | 40% | 52% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 48% | 40% | 55% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 20% | 30% | 14% | 30% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Boden | Lucksta | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 43% |
| BTTS | 65% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Boden | Lucksta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 65% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Boden (H)L
Kubikenborg1–2
Kubikenborg1–2D
IFK Östersund2–2
IFK Östersund2–2W
Gottne3–2
Gottne3–2W
Täfteå2–1
Täfteå2–1L
IFK Luleå1–4
IFK Luleå1–4D
Skellefteå1–1
Skellefteå1–1Lucksta (A)DGottne1–1
Gottne1–1LTäfteå1–4
Täfteå1–4LIFK Östersund0–1
IFK Östersund0–1LSkellefteå0–3
Skellefteå0–3LKubikenborg1–3
Kubikenborg1–3D
Friska Viljor3–3
Friska Viljor3–3Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Boden
40%
1
Draws
20%
2
Lucksta
40%
100%
Over 1.5
5/5
100%
Over 2.5
5/5
60%
Over 3.5
3/5
80%
BTTS
4/5
01/08/26Boden
Lucksta
3–0Boden13/09/25Boden
Lucksta
1–3Boden02/08/25Lucksta
Boden
1–2Lucksta10/08/24Lucksta
Boden
3–1Lucksta07/04/24Boden
Lucksta
2–2Boden| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skellefteå | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +18 | 27 |
| 1 | Kubikenborg | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Täfteå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 | Gottne | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | IFK Luleå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 | Lucksta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | Boden | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 4 | IFK Östersund | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Umeå FC Akademi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 6 |  Umea FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Storfors | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 7 |  Fransta | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 7 |  IFK Umeå | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -28 | 4 |
Team Insights
Boden- ●Boden have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Boden failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Boden have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Boden have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Boden failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Boden have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Boden failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Boden have scored in 10 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Boden failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Boden have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●63% of Boden's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Boden have conceded 66% of their goals in the first half.
Lucksta- ●Lucksta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Lucksta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Lucksta failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Lucksta have scored in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Lucksta failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Lucksta have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Lucksta have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BodenLAKubikenborg1–6
Kubikenborg1–6LHKubikenborg1–2
Kubikenborg1–2DASkellefteå2–2
Skellefteå2–2DHIFK Östersund2–2
IFK Östersund2–2WHGottne3–2
Gottne3–2WAIFK Luleå1–0
IFK Luleå1–0–HIFK Luleå16/09
IFK Luleå16/09–HSkellefteå19/09
Skellefteå19/09–AIFK Östersund26/09
IFK Östersund26/09LuckstaWHGottne4–2
Gottne4–2DAGottne1–1
Gottne1–1LHIFK Luleå0–1
IFK Luleå0–1LATäfteå1–4
Täfteå1–4LAIFK Östersund0–1
IFK Östersund0–1LHKubikenborg1–3
Kubikenborg1–3–AKubikenborg16/09
Kubikenborg16/09–AIFK Luleå19/09
IFK Luleå19/09–HTäfteå27/09
Täfteå27/09Top Scorers
BodenM. Bello11 ⚽
S. Amine Hejai4 ⚽
W. Roberts2 ⚽
K. Dugas2 ⚽
T. Warne2 ⚽
I. Burman1 ⚽
LuckstaA. Turay10 ⚽
A. Shino5 ⚽
A. Gibrill During4 ⚽
Y. Shino2 ⚽
B. Nian2 ⚽
G. Hoffman2 ⚽
Cards Given
BodenM. Bello2 🟨
S. Amine Hejai1 🟨
LuckstaN. Drinic2 🟨