Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold — Ligi kuu Bara
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Fountain Gate and Geita Gold meet in the Ligi kuu Bara 2026 season on 30 December 2026. Fountain Gate have recorded 1 wins from 11 matches this season (9% win rate), averaging 0.64 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Geita Gold have won 18% of their 11 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.16 for Fountain Gate and 0.85 for Geita Gold. The models give Fountain Gate a 40% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Geita Gold win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Fountain Gate—
Geita Gold15º
Position
13º
0.55
PPG
0.82
9%
Win %
18%
0.64
Goals / game
1.00
1.55
Conceded / game
1.64
45%
BTTS %
36%
9%
Clean sheet %
9%
27%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Fountain Gate
Home (6)
—
Geita Gold
Away (7)
0.67
PPG
0.57
17%
Win %
14%
0.50
Goals / game
0.29
1.33
Conceded / game
1.43
33%
BTTS %
14%
17%
Clean sheet %
14%
17%
Over 2.5 %
14%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Fountain Gate | Home | Away | Geita Gold | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 50% | 60% | 45% | 75% | 29% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 9% | 0% | 20% | 18% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 50% | 40% | 55% | 25% | 71% |
Goals Conceded
| Fountain Gate | Home | Away | Geita Gold | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 83% | 100% | 91% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 50% | 40% | 45% | 75% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 40% | 18% | 25% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 17% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fountain Gate | Geita Gold | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS | 45% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fountain Gate | Geita Gold | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 9% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 18% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Fountain Gate (H)L
Simba0–1
Simba0–1D
Pamba Jiji1–1
Pamba Jiji1–1L
JKT Tanzania1–2
JKT Tanzania1–2L
Young Africans0–2
Young Africans0–2L
Mbeya City0–2
Mbeya City0–2W
Mashujaa1–0
Mashujaa1–0Geita Gold (A)L
Polisi Tanzania0–1
Polisi Tanzania0–1D
Tabora United1–1
Tabora United1–1LPamba Jiji0–4
Pamba Jiji0–4LYoung Africans0–1
Young Africans0–1LSimba0–2
Simba0–2L
Namungo0–1
Namungo0–1Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Fountain Gate
40%
2
Draws
40%
1
Geita Gold
20%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
0%
Over 3.5
0/5
80%
BTTS
4/5
25/10/26Fountain Gate
Geita Gold
1–1Fountain Gate25/05/24Geita Gold
Fountain Gate
2–1Geita Gold21/12/23Fountain Gate
Geita Gold
1–0Fountain Gate30/12/22Geita Gold
Fountain Gate
2–1Geita Gold21/09/22Fountain Gate
Geita Gold
1–1Fountain Gate| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Azam | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 23 |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 5 |  Dodoma Jiji | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 | Namungo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Singida Black Stars | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 |  Coastal Union | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Tabora United | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Mbeya City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Geita Gold | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 6 |
| 16 |  Kagera Sugar | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Fountain Gate- ●Fountain Gate have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Fountain Gate failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Fountain Gate have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fountain Gate failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fountain Gate failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fountain Gate failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Fountain Gate have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Fountain Gate failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Geita Gold- ●Geita Gold have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Geita Gold failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Geita Gold failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Geita Gold failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Geita Gold have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●82% of Geita Gold's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Fountain GateLATabora United2–3
Tabora United2–3LHSimba0–1
Simba0–1DAGeita Gold1–1
Geita Gold1–1DHPamba Jiji1–1
Pamba Jiji1–1LHJKT Tanzania1–2
JKT Tanzania1–2DAKagera Sugar1–1
Kagera Sugar1–1–ADodoma Jiji21/11
Dodoma Jiji21/11–HAzam28/11
Azam28/11–ACoastal Union05/12
Coastal Union05/12Geita GoldLAPolisi Tanzania0–1
Polisi Tanzania0–1DATabora United1–1
Tabora United1–1DHFountain Gate1–1
Fountain Gate1–1LHDodoma Jiji0–3
Dodoma Jiji0–3LAPamba Jiji0–4
Pamba Jiji0–4LAYoung Africans0–1
Young Africans0–1–HMashujaa22/11
Mashujaa22/11–HCoastal Union29/11
Coastal Union29/11–ASingida Black Stars05/12
Singida Black Stars05/12Top Scorers
Fountain Gate5 ⚽
K. Haruna1 ⚽
Geita GoldA. Chirwa5 ⚽
R. Ng'ondya2 ⚽
Y. V. Mhilu2 ⚽
K. Makasi1 ⚽
Cards Given
Fountain Gate13 🟨
Geita Gold9 🟨
A. Chirwa2 🟨
K. Makasi1 🟨
A. Ali1 🟨
M. Kigi1 🟨
N. Kaboma1 🟨