Pamba Jiji vs Kagera Sugar — Ligi kuu Bara
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Pamba Jiji and Kagera Sugar meet in the Ligi kuu Bara 2026 season on 11 December 2026. Pamba Jiji have recorded 1 wins from 11 matches this season (9% win rate), averaging 0.91 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Kagera Sugar have won 9% of their 11 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Pamba Jiji and 1.08 for Kagera Sugar. The models give Pamba Jiji a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Kagera Sugar win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Pamba Jiji—
Kagera Sugar14º
Position
16º
0.55
PPG
0.55
9%
Win %
9%
0.91
Goals / game
0.82
1.55
Conceded / game
2.00
55%
BTTS %
55%
9%
Clean sheet %
0%
45%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Pamba Jiji
Home (5)
—
Kagera Sugar
Away (6)
0.80
PPG
0.50
20%
Win %
17%
1.40
Goals / game
1.00
1.40
Conceded / game
2.50
60%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Pamba Jiji | Home | Away | Kagera Sugar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 80% | 50% | 55% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 20% | 50% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Pamba Jiji | Home | Away | Kagera Sugar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 40% | 50% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 20% | 17% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pamba Jiji | Kagera Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS | 55% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pamba Jiji | Kagera Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 82% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 9% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 55% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 27% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 18% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 82% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Pamba Jiji (H)L
Singida Black Stars0–1
Singida Black Stars0–1W
Geita Gold4–0
Geita Gold4–0L
Tabora United1–3
Tabora United1–3L
Simba1–2
Simba1–2D
Dodoma Jiji1–1
Dodoma Jiji1–1L
JKT Tanzania1–2
JKT Tanzania1–2Kagera Sugar (A)L
Young Africans0–4
Young Africans0–4L
Coastal Union0–1
Coastal Union0–1LJKT Tanzania0–1
JKT Tanzania0–1W
Mbeya City3–1
Mbeya City3–1L
Mashujaa1–2
Mashujaa1–2LGeita Gold2–6
Geita Gold2–6Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Pamba Jiji
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Kagera Sugar
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
07/03/25Pamba Jiji
Kagera Sugar
2–1Pamba Jiji20/10/24Kagera Sugar
Pamba Jiji
1–1Kagera Sugar| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Azam | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 23 |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Polisi Tanzania | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |  Namungo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Tabora United | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Mbeya City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Geita Gold | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Fountain Gate | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 6 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Pamba Jiji- ●Pamba Jiji have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Pamba Jiji failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pamba Jiji failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Pamba Jiji failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pamba Jiji have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Pamba Jiji's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Pamba Jiji have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Pamba Jiji have conceded 88% of their goals in the first half.
Kagera Sugar- ●Kagera Sugar have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Kagera Sugar's goals have been scored away.
- ●68% of Kagera Sugar's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Kagera Sugar have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Pamba JijiLAMashujaa0–1
Mashujaa0–1LHSingida Black Stars0–1
Singida Black Stars0–1DAPolisi Tanzania1–1
Polisi Tanzania1–1DAFountain Gate1–1
Fountain Gate1–1WHGeita Gold4–0
Geita Gold4–0LHTabora United1–3
Tabora United1–3–HCoastal Union21/11
Coastal Union21/11–HNamungo27/11
Namungo27/11–AMbeya City04/12
Mbeya City04/12Kagera SugarLAYoung Africans0–4
Young Africans0–4LACoastal Union0–1
Coastal Union0–1LAJKT Tanzania0–1
JKT Tanzania0–1DHPolisi Tanzania1–1
Polisi Tanzania1–1WAMbeya City3–1
Mbeya City3–1DHFountain Gate1–1
Fountain Gate1–1–HTabora United22/11
Tabora United22/11–HDodoma Jiji27/11
Dodoma Jiji27/11–HNamungo06/12
Namungo06/12Top Scorers
Pamba JijiI. Diomande2 ⚽
D. Mafie2 ⚽
2 ⚽
Z. Mayombya1 ⚽
N. Ndwangou1 ⚽
H. Msabila1 ⚽
Kagera SugarM. Said3 ⚽
H. Mwaterema1 ⚽
K. Feka1 ⚽
E. Mvuyekule1 ⚽
N. Shaban1 ⚽
R. Mathias1 ⚽
Cards Given
Pamba Jiji14 🟨
S. Oyugi Siwa1 🟨
Z. Hamis1 🟨
Kagera Sugar11 🟨
D. Mhilu1 🟨