Simba vs Polisi Tanzania — Ligi kuu Bara
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KMC Stadium·Dar es Salaam·Tanzania·3,000
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Simba and Polisi Tanzania meet in the Ligi kuu Bara 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Simba have recorded 11 wins from 12 matches this season (92% win rate), averaging 2.67 goals scored and 0.58 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Polisi Tanzania have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Simba and 0.93 for Polisi Tanzania. The models give Simba a 65% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Polisi Tanzania win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Simba—
Polisi Tanzania1º
Position
6º
3.00
PPG
1.33
100%
Win %
33%
2.38
Goals / game
1.33
0.50
Conceded / game
1.22
50%
BTTS %
67%
42%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
33%
9.0
Avg corners
0.0
25.0
Avg shots
0.0
11.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
64.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Simba
Home (4)
—
Polisi Tanzania
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
25%
2.75
Goals / game
1.25
0.50
Conceded / game
1.75
60%
BTTS %
75%
40%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
50%
9.0
Avg corners
0.0
25.0
Avg shots
0.0
11.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
64.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Simba | Home | Away | Polisi Tanzania | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 77% | 83% | 71% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Simba | Home | Away | Polisi Tanzania | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 54% | 50% | 57% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 46% | 50% | 43% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Simba | Polisi Tanzania | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 11% |
| BTTS | 46% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 46% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Simba | Polisi Tanzania | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 83% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Simba (H)W
15 de Agosto3–0
15 de Agosto3–0W
Mashujaa6–1
Mashujaa6–1W
Young Africans2–1
Young Africans2–1W
Be Forward Wanderers6–1
Be Forward Wanderers6–1W
Geita Gold2–0
Geita Gold2–0W
Coastal Union1–0
Coastal Union1–0Polisi Tanzania (A)D
Kagera Sugar1–1
Kagera Sugar1–1LMashujaa1–2
Mashujaa1–2L
Singida Black Stars2–4
Singida Black Stars2–4W
Dodoma Jiji1–0
Dodoma Jiji1–0L
Tanzania Prisons0–1
Tanzania Prisons0–1W
Mbeya Kwanza4–0
Mbeya Kwanza4–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Simba | Polisi Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 9.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
7
Simba
88%
1
Draws
13%
0
Polisi Tanzania
0%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
06/06/23Polisi Tanzania
Simba
6–1Polisi Tanzania27/11/22Simba
Polisi Tanzania
1–3Simba10/04/22Simba
Polisi Tanzania
0–0Simba27/10/21Polisi Tanzania
Simba
1–0Polisi Tanzania18/06/21Simba
Polisi Tanzania
0–1Simba09/12/20Polisi Tanzania
Simba
2–0Polisi Tanzania26/07/20Simba
Polisi Tanzania
1–2Simba04/02/20Polisi Tanzania
Simba
2–1Polisi Tanzania| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  JKT Tanzania | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Namungo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Tabora United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Geita Gold | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 |  Pamba Jiji | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 |  Fountain Gate | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
Team Insights
Simba- ●Simba have won their last 8 matches.
- ●Simba have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Simba have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Simba have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Simba have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Simba have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Simba have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Simba have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
Polisi Tanzania- ●Polisi Tanzania have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Polisi Tanzania have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Polisi Tanzania have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Polisi Tanzania have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Polisi Tanzania have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Polisi Tanzania have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
SimbaWHMashujaa6–1
Mashujaa6–1WHYoung Africans2–1
Young Africans2–1WAAzam2–0
Azam2–0WHGeita Gold2–0
Geita Gold2–0WHCoastal Union1–0
Coastal Union1–0WASingida Black Stars2–1
Singida Black Stars2–1–AFountain Gate28/10
Fountain Gate28/10–HNamungo02/11
Namungo02/11–AJKT Tanzania21/11
JKT Tanzania21/11Polisi TanzaniaDHPamba Jiji1–1
Pamba Jiji1–1DAKagera Sugar1–1
Kagera Sugar1–1LAMashujaa1–2
Mashujaa1–2WHMbeya City2–0
Mbeya City2–0LHCoastal Union1–2
Coastal Union1–2LASingida Black Stars2–4
Singida Black Stars2–4–ANamungo29/10
Namungo29/10–HGeita Gold01/11
Geita Gold01/11–HYoung Africans20/11
Young Africans20/11Top Scorers
SimbaC. Chama6 ⚽
E. Mpanzu5 ⚽
L. Gueye4 ⚽
A. A. Oura4 ⚽
M. Abraham2 ⚽
I. Doumbia2 ⚽
Polisi Tanzania5 ⚽
A. Jabiri4 ⚽
H. Kyombo1 ⚽
J. Mtegeta1 ⚽
K. Kunambi1 ⚽
Cards Given
Simba4 🟨
A. Mligo1 🟨
A. Rafiu Kassali1 🟨
I. Jabaar1 🟨
K. Makgalwa1 🟨
M. Abraham1 🟨
Polisi Tanzania12 🟨