Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca — Segunda División
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Provincial Osorno and Municipal Salamanca meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Provincial Osorno have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 37% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 53% of games. Municipal Salamanca have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 0.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 35%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Provincial Osorno and 0.91 for Municipal Salamanca. The models give Provincial Osorno a 41% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Municipal Salamanca win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Provincial Osorno—
Municipal Salamanca1º
Position
2º
2.00
PPG
1.83
50%
Win %
42%
1.25
Goals / game
0.92
0.42
Conceded / game
0.42
37%
BTTS %
35%
53%
Clean sheet %
50%
37%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Provincial Osorno
Home (6)
—
Municipal Salamanca
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
50%
1.33
Goals / game
1.17
0.50
Conceded / game
0.67
40%
BTTS %
40%
60%
Clean sheet %
40%
40%
Over 2.5 %
30%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Provincial Osorno | Home | Away | Municipal Salamanca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 90% | 56% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 30% | 22% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 10% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 10% | 44% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Provincial Osorno | Home | Away | Municipal Salamanca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 47% | 40% | 56% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 30% | 33% | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 53% | 60% | 44% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Provincial Osorno | Municipal Salamanca | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 47% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 5% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 37% | 35% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Provincial Osorno | Municipal Salamanca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 21% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 37% | 35% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 16% | 10% |
Recent Venue Form
Provincial Osorno (H)W
Linares Unido1–0
Linares Unido1–0L
Santiago City1–2
Santiago City1–2D
Trasandino2–2
Trasandino2–2W
Concón National1–0
Concón National1–0W
General Velásquez3–0
General Velásquez3–0DLinares Unido1–1
Linares Unido1–1Municipal Salamanca (A)DConcón National0–0
Concón National0–0LSantiago City0–1
Santiago City0–1LTrasandino0–3
Trasandino0–3W
Colchagua1–0
Colchagua1–0WTrasandino2–1
Trasandino2–1W
Colina2–1
Colina2–1Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Provincial Osorno
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Municipal Salamanca
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
06/09/26Provincial Osorno
Municipal Salamanca
2–1Provincial Osorno29/11/25Provincial Osorno
Municipal Salamanca
1–1Provincial Osorno21/06/25Municipal Salamanca
Provincial Osorno
3–0Municipal Salamanca| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +10 | 24 |
| 1 | Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | +6 | 22 |
| 2 | Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 | Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 | Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 18 |
| 4 | General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 16 |
| 5 | Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 20 |
| 5 |  Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 6 | Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 10 |  Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 |  Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
Team Insights
Provincial Osorno- ●Provincial Osorno have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Provincial Osorno have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Provincial Osorno failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Provincial Osorno have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Provincial Osorno have scored in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Provincial Osorno have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 away matches.
- ●62% of Provincial Osorno's goals have been scored at home.
Municipal Salamanca- ●Municipal Salamanca have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Municipal Salamanca have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Municipal Salamanca have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Municipal Salamanca have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Municipal Salamanca have won 4 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Municipal Salamanca have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Provincial OsornoWHLinares Unido1–0
Linares Unido1–0WAConcón National3–1
Concón National3–1LAColchagua0–2
Colchagua0–2LHSantiago City1–2
Santiago City1–2LAMunicipal Salamanca1–2
Municipal Salamanca1–2DHTrasandino2–2
Trasandino2–2–ATrasandino08/11
Trasandino08/11–HMunicipal Salamanca15/11
Municipal Salamanca15/11–ASantiago City22/11
Santiago City22/11Municipal SalamancaDAConcón National0–0
Concón National0–0DHSantiago City2–2
Santiago City2–2WHLinares Unido2–0
Linares Unido2–0LASantiago City0–1
Santiago City0–1LATrasandino0–3
Trasandino0–3WHProvincial Osorno2–1
Provincial Osorno2–1–HColchagua08/11
Colchagua08/11–AProvincial Osorno15/11
Provincial Osorno15/11–HTrasandino22/11
Trasandino22/11Top Scorers
Provincial OsornoD. Bielkiewicz5 ⚽
J. Gutierrez3 ⚽
D. Vergara2 ⚽
D. Gonzalez1 ⚽
E. Navarrete1 ⚽
D. Guzman1 ⚽
Municipal SalamancaM. Quinteros3 ⚽
W. Cid2 ⚽
M. Arias2 ⚽
M. Tapia2 ⚽
J. Gonzalez1 ⚽
N. Barrios1 ⚽
Cards Given
Provincial Osorno12 🟨
G. Lauler5 🟨
B. Caceres4 🟨
D. Vergara3 🟨
F. Escobar3 🟨
C. Soto2 🟨
Municipal Salamanca11 🟨
F. Arenas6 🟨
C. Diaz5 🟨
W. Cid4 🟨
C. Molina4 🟨
L. Macaya4 🟨