Lota Schwager vs Real San Joaquín — Segunda División
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Lota Schwager and Real San Joaquín meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Lota Schwager have recorded 8 wins from 21 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Real San Joaquín have won 20% of their 20 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Lota Schwager and 1.38 for Real San Joaquín. The models give Lota Schwager a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Real San Joaquín win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Lota Schwager—
Real San Joaquín10º
Position
9º
1.08
PPG
1.08
25%
Win %
25%
0.92
Goals / game
1.33
1.08
Conceded / game
1.42
57%
BTTS %
65%
24%
Clean sheet %
15%
38%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lota Schwager
Home (6)
—
Real San Joaquín
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
1.50
17%
Win %
33%
0.83
Goals / game
1.83
1.33
Conceded / game
1.50
70%
BTTS %
70%
10%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lota Schwager | Home | Away | Real San | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 80% | 73% | 65% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 30% | 36% | 35% | 30% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 20% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 20% | 27% | 35% | 40% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Lota Schwager | Home | Away | Real San | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 90% | 64% | 85% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 40% | 9% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 10% | 36% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lota Schwager | Real San | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 20% |
| BTTS | 57% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lota Schwager | Real San | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Lota Schwager (H)W
Deportes Rengo5–1
Deportes Rengo5–1L
Provincial Ovalle1–2
Provincial Ovalle1–2D
Santiago Morning1–1
Santiago Morning1–1W
General Velásquez3–1
General Velásquez3–1D
Provincial Osorno2–2
Provincial Osorno2–2DSantiago Morning1–1
Santiago Morning1–1Real San (A)WSantiago Morning2–1
Santiago Morning2–1L
Colina0–1
Colina0–1DGeneral Velásquez1–1
General Velásquez1–1DProvincial Ovalle1–1
Provincial Ovalle1–1LColina1–5
Colina1–5D
Municipal Salamanca0–0
Municipal Salamanca0–0Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Lota Schwager
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Real San
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
03/10/26Lota Schwager
Real San Joaquín
0–2Lota Schwager| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +10 | 24 |
| 1 | Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | +6 | 22 |
| 2 |  Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 18 |
| 4 | General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 20 |
| 5 | Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 10 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
Team Insights
Lota Schwager- ●Lota Schwager have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Lota Schwager failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lota Schwager failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have won 5 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●60% of Lota Schwager's points have been earned away.
- ●Lota Schwager have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Real San- ●Real San Joaquín failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Real San Joaquín have failed to win in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Real San Joaquín failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Real San Joaquín failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real San Joaquín failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Real San Joaquín have lost 6 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Real San Joaquín failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Real San Joaquín have scored in 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●70% of Real San Joaquín's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Lota SchwagerWASantiago Morning4–1
Santiago Morning4–1WHDeportes Rengo5–1
Deportes Rengo5–1WAGeneral Velásquez2–1
General Velásquez2–1WAReal San Joaquín2–0
Real San Joaquín2–0LHProvincial Ovalle1–2
Provincial Ovalle1–2DAColina0–0
Colina0–0–HColina08/11
Colina08/11–AProvincial Ovalle22/11
Provincial Ovalle22/11–HReal San Joaquín29/11
Real San Joaquín29/11Real SanDHProvincial Ovalle1–1
Provincial Ovalle1–1WASantiago Morning2–1
Santiago Morning2–1LHLota Schwager0–2
Lota Schwager0–2LAColina0–1
Colina0–1DAGeneral Velásquez1–1
General Velásquez1–1LHDeportes Rengo2–5
Deportes Rengo2–5–ADeportes Rengo07/11
Deportes Rengo07/11–HGeneral Velásquez15/11
General Velásquez15/11–HColina22/11
Colina22/11Top Scorers
Lota SchwagerL. Quiroga5 ⚽
S. Torres5 ⚽
C. Salas3 ⚽
L. Pontigo2 ⚽
I. Chandia2 ⚽
B. Hermosilla2 ⚽
Real SanJ. Carreno4 ⚽
D. Maureira3 ⚽
B. Figueroa3 ⚽
R. Abbruzzese3 ⚽
J. Gomez2 ⚽
B. Gonzalez2 ⚽
Cards Given
Lota Schwager15 🟨
A. Ambiado7 🟨
L. Povea5 🟨
J. J. Contreras5 🟨
J. Reyes4 🟨
G. Navarrete3 🟨
Real San23 🟨
I. Farias6 🟨
J. Carreno6 🟨
D. Maureira3 🟨
I. Munoz3 🟨
D. Navarrete3 🟨