Provincial Ovalle vs Lota Schwager — Segunda División
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Provincial Ovalle and Lota Schwager meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Provincial Ovalle have recorded 4 wins from 21 matches this season (19% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Lota Schwager have won 38% of their 21 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.98 for Provincial Ovalle and 1.35 for Lota Schwager. The models give Provincial Ovalle a 27% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Lota Schwager win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Provincial Ovalle—
Lota Schwager14º
Position
10º
0.50
PPG
1.08
8%
Win %
25%
0.92
Goals / game
0.92
2.00
Conceded / game
1.08
57%
BTTS %
57%
19%
Clean sheet %
24%
43%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Provincial Ovalle
Home (6)
—
Lota Schwager
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
1.33
17%
Win %
33%
0.83
Goals / game
1.00
1.83
Conceded / game
0.83
64%
BTTS %
45%
18%
Clean sheet %
36%
45%
Over 2.5 %
27%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Provincial Ovalle | Home | Away | Lota Schwager | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 82% | 50% | 76% | 80% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 18% | 40% | 33% | 30% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 9% | 0% | 14% | 20% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 18% | 50% | 24% | 20% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Provincial Ovalle | Home | Away | Lota Schwager | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 82% | 80% | 76% | 90% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 27% | 40% | 24% | 40% | 9% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 18% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 18% | 20% | 24% | 10% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Provincial Ovalle | Lota Schwager | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 10% |
| BTTS | 57% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Provincial Ovalle | Lota Schwager | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Provincial Ovalle (H)L
General Velásquez1–2
General Velásquez1–2L
Deportes Rengo1–5
Deportes Rengo1–5W
Colina1–0
Colina1–0D
Real San Joaquín1–1
Real San Joaquín1–1WColina2–1
Colina2–1LReal San Joaquín1–6
Real San Joaquín1–6Lota Schwager (A)W
Santiago Morning4–1
Santiago Morning4–1WGeneral Velásquez2–1
General Velásquez2–1WReal San Joaquín2–0
Real San Joaquín2–0DColina0–0
Colina0–0LDeportes Rengo0–1
Deportes Rengo0–1W
Colchagua2–0
Colchagua2–0Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Provincial Ovalle
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Lota Schwager
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
26/09/26Provincial Ovalle
Lota Schwager
1–2Provincial Ovalle| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +10 | 24 |
| 1 |  Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | +6 | 22 |
| 2 | Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 18 |
| 4 | General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 20 |
| 5 | Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 10 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
Team Insights
Provincial Ovalle- ●Provincial Ovalle have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have lost 5 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have lost 6 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Lota Schwager- ●Lota Schwager have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Lota Schwager failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lota Schwager failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have won 5 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●60% of Lota Schwager's points have been earned away.
- ●Lota Schwager have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Provincial OvalleDAReal San Joaquín1–1
Real San Joaquín1–1LHGeneral Velásquez1–2
General Velásquez1–2LHDeportes Rengo1–5
Deportes Rengo1–5WALota Schwager2–1
Lota Schwager2–1WHColina1–0
Colina1–0DASantiago Morning0–0
Santiago Morning0–0–HSantiago Morning08/11
Santiago Morning08/11–AColina15/11
Colina15/11–HLota Schwager22/11
Lota Schwager22/11Lota SchwagerWASantiago Morning4–1
Santiago Morning4–1WHDeportes Rengo5–1
Deportes Rengo5–1WAGeneral Velásquez2–1
General Velásquez2–1WAReal San Joaquín2–0
Real San Joaquín2–0LHProvincial Ovalle1–2
Provincial Ovalle1–2DAColina0–0
Colina0–0–HColina08/11
Colina08/11–AProvincial Ovalle22/11
Provincial Ovalle22/11–HReal San Joaquín29/11
Real San Joaquín29/11Top Scorers
Provincial Ovalle7 ⚽
C. Duma5 ⚽
R. Tarifeno4 ⚽
B. Cortes2 ⚽
D. Cuellar1 ⚽
F. Rosales1 ⚽
Lota SchwagerL. Quiroga5 ⚽
S. Torres5 ⚽
C. Salas3 ⚽
L. Pontigo2 ⚽
I. Chandia2 ⚽
B. Hermosilla2 ⚽
Cards Given
Provincial Ovalle24 🟨
J. Soto6 🟨
D. Ceron6 🟨
B. Castro3 🟨
E. Millalen3 🟨
B. Solano2 🟨
Lota Schwager15 🟨
A. Ambiado7 🟨
L. Povea5 🟨
J. J. Contreras5 🟨
J. Reyes4 🟨
G. Navarrete3 🟨