Provincial Ovalle vs Santiago Morning — Segunda División
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Provincial Ovalle and Santiago Morning meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Provincial Ovalle have recorded 4 wins from 21 matches this season (19% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Santiago Morning have won 14% of their 21 matches, with 0.90 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Provincial Ovalle and 1.37 for Santiago Morning. The models give Provincial Ovalle a 37% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Santiago Morning win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Provincial Ovalle—
Santiago Morning14º
Position
13º
0.50
PPG
0.83
8%
Win %
17%
0.92
Goals / game
0.75
2.00
Conceded / game
1.17
57%
BTTS %
62%
19%
Clean sheet %
19%
43%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Provincial Ovalle
Home (6)
—
Santiago Morning
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
0.83
17%
Win %
17%
0.83
Goals / game
1.17
1.83
Conceded / game
1.67
64%
BTTS %
90%
18%
Clean sheet %
0%
45%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Provincial Ovalle | Home | Away | Santiago Morning | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 82% | 50% | 67% | 45% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 18% | 40% | 19% | 9% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 9% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 18% | 50% | 33% | 55% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Provincial Ovalle | Home | Away | Santiago Morning | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 82% | 80% | 81% | 64% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 27% | 40% | 29% | 18% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 18% | 30% | 14% | 9% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 36% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Provincial Ovalle | Santiago Morning | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 5% |
| BTTS | 57% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Provincial Ovalle | Santiago Morning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 52% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 19% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Provincial Ovalle (H)L
General Velásquez1–2
General Velásquez1–2L
Deportes Rengo1–5
Deportes Rengo1–5W
Colina1–0
Colina1–0D
Real San Joaquín1–1
Real San Joaquín1–1WColina2–1
Colina2–1LReal San Joaquín1–6
Real San Joaquín1–6Santiago Morning (A)DColina1–1
Colina1–1DDeportes Rengo2–2
Deportes Rengo2–2D
Lota Schwager1–1
Lota Schwager1–1DReal San Joaquín2–2
Real San Joaquín2–2LDeportes Rengo1–3
Deportes Rengo1–3DLota Schwager1–1
Lota Schwager1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Provincial Ovalle
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Santiago Morning
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
30/08/26Provincial Ovalle
Santiago Morning
0–0Provincial Ovalle| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +10 | 24 |
| 1 |  Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | +6 | 22 |
| 2 |  Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 18 |
| 4 | General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 20 |
| 5 | Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 10 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
Team Insights
Provincial Ovalle- ●Provincial Ovalle have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have lost 5 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have lost 6 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Santiago Morning- ●Santiago Morning have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Santiago Morning failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Santiago Morning failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have scored in 9 of their 10 away matches.
- ●68% of Santiago Morning's goals have been scored away.
- ●Santiago Morning have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Provincial OvalleDAReal San Joaquín1–1
Real San Joaquín1–1LHGeneral Velásquez1–2
General Velásquez1–2LHDeportes Rengo1–5
Deportes Rengo1–5WALota Schwager2–1
Lota Schwager2–1WHColina1–0
Colina1–0DASantiago Morning0–0
Santiago Morning0–0–HSantiago Morning08/11
Santiago Morning08/11–AColina15/11
Colina15/11–HLota Schwager22/11
Lota Schwager22/11Santiago MorningLHLota Schwager1–4
Lota Schwager1–4DAColina1–1
Colina1–1LHReal San Joaquín1–2
Real San Joaquín1–2DHGeneral Velásquez0–0
General Velásquez0–0DADeportes Rengo2–2
Deportes Rengo2–2DHProvincial Ovalle0–0
Provincial Ovalle0–0–AProvincial Ovalle08/11
Provincial Ovalle08/11–HDeportes Rengo15/11
Deportes Rengo15/11–AGeneral Velásquez22/11
General Velásquez22/11Top Scorers
Provincial Ovalle7 ⚽
C. Duma5 ⚽
R. Tarifeno4 ⚽
B. Cortes2 ⚽
D. Cuellar1 ⚽
F. Rosales1 ⚽
Santiago MorningE. Rubio3 ⚽
M. Delgado2 ⚽
K. Rojas2 ⚽
G. Escobar2 ⚽
M. Arancibia2 ⚽
G. Raventos1 ⚽
Cards Given
Provincial Ovalle24 🟨
J. Soto6 🟨
D. Ceron6 🟨
B. Castro3 🟨
E. Millalen3 🟨
B. Solano2 🟨
Santiago Morning19 🟨
E. Rubio7 🟨
M. Almuna5 🟨
M. Delgado5 🟨
M. Arancibia4 🟨
C. Quezada4 🟨