Fuerte San Francisco vs Inca Aruba — Primera Division
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Fuerte San Francisco and Inca Aruba meet in the Primera Division 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Fuerte San Francisco have recorded 3 wins from 20 matches this season (15% win rate), averaging 0.85 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Inca Aruba have won 24% of their 17 matches, with 0.76 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.05 for Inca Aruba. The models give Fuerte San Francisco a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Inca Aruba win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Fuerte San FranciscoInca ArubaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fuerte San | Home | Away | Inca Aruba | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 56% | 64% | 65% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 22% | 27% | 12% | 22% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 44% | 36% | 35% | 33% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Fuerte San | Home | Away | Inca Aruba | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 78% | 82% | 82% | 78% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 33% | 55% | 53% | 44% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 11% | 27% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 22% | 18% | 18% | 22% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fuerte San | Inca Aruba | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 12% |
| BTTS | 50% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fuerte San | Inca Aruba | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 18% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Fuerte San (H)
Cacahuatique2–1
Firpo0–3
Municipal Limeño0–2
FAS0–1
Isidro Metapán1–0
Inter2–2Inca Aruba (A)Firpo0–2FAS1–1
Alianza1–1
Águila1–3Isidro Metapán1–0Inter1–4Head to Head · 1 matches
Fuerte San Francisco| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firpo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 31 |
| 2 | FAS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 31 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 30 |
| 4 | Águila | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 | Inter | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 |  Platense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeño | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Atletico Balboa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
Team Insights
Fuerte San- ●Fuerte San Francisco failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Inca Aruba- ●Inca Aruba have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Inca Aruba's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Fuerte SanIsidro Metapán2–3Cacahuatique2–1Inter1–1Firpo0–3Platense0–0Alianza2–2Atletico Balboa25/10Águila01/11FAS09/11Inca ArubaInter0–2Firpo0–2Platense1–4FAS1–1Municipal Limeño2–1Alianza1–1Cacahuatique31/10Isidro Metapán07/11Atletico Balboa12/11Top Scorers
Fuerte SanInca ArubaCards Given
Fuerte SanInca Aruba