Inca Aruba vs Águila — Primera Division
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Inca Aruba and Águila meet in the Primera Division 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Inca Aruba have recorded 4 wins from 17 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 0.76 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Águila have won 55% of their 22 matches, with 2.05 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.10 for Inca Aruba and 1.28 for Águila. The models give Inca Aruba a 29% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Águila win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Inca ArubaÁguilaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Inca Aruba | Home | Away | Águila | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 67% | 63% | 82% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 12% | 22% | 0% | 64% | 90% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 36% | 60% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 33% | 38% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Inca Aruba | Home | Away | Águila | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 78% | 88% | 73% | 90% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 44% | 63% | 32% | 20% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 22% | 13% | 27% | 10% | 42% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Inca Aruba | Águila | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 27% |
| BTTS | 53% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Inca Aruba | Águila | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 12% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 5% |
| Scored 1st Half | 18% | 59% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Inca Aruba (H)
Inter0–2
Platense1–4
Municipal Limeño2–1
Fuerte San Francisco2–1
Atletico Balboa1–0
Cacahuatique1–1Águila (A)Atletico Balboa2–2
Firpo0–2Platense1–0Municipal Limeño0–0
FAS0–1
Isidro Metapán1–2Head to Head · 1 matches
Inca Aruba| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firpo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 31 |
| 2 | FAS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 31 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 30 |
| 4 | Águila | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 | Inter | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Alianza | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 | Platense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeño | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
Team Insights
Inca Aruba- ●Inca Aruba have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Inca Aruba's goals have been scored at home.
Águila- ●Águila have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Águila have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Águila have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Águila have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Águila have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Águila failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Águila have scored in 9 of their 9 home matches.
- ●80% of Águila's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Inca ArubaInter0–2Firpo0–2Platense1–4FAS1–1Municipal Limeño2–1Alianza1–1Cacahuatique31/10Isidro Metapán07/11Atletico Balboa12/11ÁguilaFAS3–1Atletico Balboa2–2Isidro Metapán3–0Cacahuatique4–1Inter2–1Firpo0–2Fuerte San Francisco01/11Alianza08/11Municipal Limeño12/11Top Scorers
Inca ArubaÁguilaCards Given
Inca ArubaÁguila