Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza — Primera Division
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Fuerte San Francisco and Alianza meet in the Primera Division 2026 season on 11 November 2026. Fuerte San Francisco have recorded 3 wins from 20 matches this season (15% win rate), averaging 0.85 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Alianza have won 36% of their 28 matches, with 1.39 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.26 for Alianza. The models give Fuerte San Francisco a 31% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Alianza win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Fuerte San Francisco—
Alianza12º
Position
6º
0.75
PPG
1.44
13%
Win %
31%
0.81
Goals / game
1.44
1.69
Conceded / game
1.31
50%
BTTS %
61%
20%
Clean sheet %
29%
45%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Fuerte San Francisco
Home (7)
—
Alianza
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
0.86
29%
Win %
14%
0.86
Goals / game
1.14
1.43
Conceded / game
1.57
33%
BTTS %
60%
22%
Clean sheet %
20%
33%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Fuerte San | Home | Away | Alianza | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 56% | 64% | 79% | 85% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 22% | 27% | 46% | 62% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 15% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 44% | 36% | 21% | 15% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Fuerte San | Home | Away | Alianza | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 78% | 82% | 71% | 62% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 33% | 55% | 50% | 31% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 11% | 27% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 22% | 18% | 29% | 38% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fuerte San | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 7% |
| BTTS | 50% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 32% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fuerte San | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Fuerte San (H)W
Cacahuatique2–1
Cacahuatique2–1L
Firpo0–3
Firpo0–3L
Municipal Limeño0–2
Municipal Limeño0–2L
FAS0–1
FAS0–1W
Isidro Metapán1–0
Isidro Metapán1–0D
Inter2–2
Inter2–2Alianza (A)L
CD Marathon1–2
CD Marathon1–2DCacahuatique0–0
Cacahuatique0–0LFAS1–2
FAS1–2L
CD Motagua0–3
CD Motagua0–3D
Águila2–2
Águila2–2D
Platense2–2
Platense2–2Head to Head · 17 matches
3
Fuerte San
18%
2
Draws
12%
12
Alianza
71%
65%
Over 1.5
11/17
35%
Over 2.5
6/17
29%
Over 3.5
5/17
35%
BTTS
6/17
24/09/26Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
2–2Fuerte San Francisco01/05/26Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
0–1Alianza08/03/26Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
3–2Fuerte San Francisco16/11/25Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
1–3Alianza14/09/25Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
1–0Fuerte San Francisco18/05/25Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
2–0Fuerte San Francisco15/05/25Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
0–1Alianza23/04/25Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
1–0Alianza27/02/25Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
2–0Fuerte San Francisco01/11/24Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
2–0Fuerte San Francisco19/09/24Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
0–2Alianza28/04/24Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
3–1Fuerte San Francisco10/03/24Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
1–0Alianza02/12/23Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
1–1Alianza30/11/23Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
4–0Fuerte San Francisco07/10/23Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
1–2Fuerte San Francisco13/08/23Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
0–1Alianza| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firpo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 31 |
| 2 | FAS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 31 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 30 |
| 4 | Águila | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 | Inter | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 | Platense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeño | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 |  Inca Aruba | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Atletico Balboa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
Team Insights
Fuerte San- ●Fuerte San Francisco failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Alianza- ●Alianza have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Alianza have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Alianza have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Alianza have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Alianza failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Alianza have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Alianza failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Alianza's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Fuerte SanLAIsidro Metapán2–3
Isidro Metapán2–3WHCacahuatique2–1
Cacahuatique2–1DAInter1–1
Inter1–1LHFirpo0–3
Firpo0–3DAPlatense0–0
Platense0–0DAAlianza2–2
Alianza2–2–HAtletico Balboa25/10
Atletico Balboa25/10–HÁguila01/11
Águila01/11–AFAS09/11
FAS09/11AlianzaWHIsidro Metapán1–0
Isidro Metapán1–0DACacahuatique0–0
Cacahuatique0–0DHInter2–2
Inter2–2LAFAS1–2
FAS1–2DHFirpo2–2
Firpo2–2WHPlatense2–1
Platense2–1–AAtletico Balboa01/11
Atletico Balboa01/11–AFirpo05/11
Firpo05/11–HÁguila08/11
Águila08/11Top Scorers
Fuerte SanJ. Gallardo5 ⚽
V. Santana3 ⚽
A. Caicedo2 ⚽
C. Martinez1 ⚽
C. Salazar1 ⚽
M. Rodriguez1 ⚽
AlianzaM. Mier4 ⚽
W. Parra4 ⚽
L. Menjivar4 ⚽
H. Osorio4 ⚽
Gustavo Souza3 ⚽
J. Barreto2 ⚽
Cards Given
Fuerte SanV. Santana3 🟨
F. Escobar1 🟨
J. Benitez1 🟨
W. Rugama1 🟨
AlianzaH. Osorio3 🟨
M. Mier3 🟨
L. Menjivar3 🟨
N. A. Rodriguez Arias3 🟨
J. Portillo2 🟨
B. Tamacas2 🟨