Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán — Primera Division
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Inca Aruba and Isidro Metapán meet in the Primera Division 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Inca Aruba have recorded 4 wins from 17 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 0.76 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Isidro Metapán have won 50% of their 22 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Inca Aruba and 1.30 for Isidro Metapán. The models give Inca Aruba a 32% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Isidro Metapán win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Inca Aruba | Home | Away | Isidro Metapán | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 67% | 63% | 68% | 88% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 12% | 22% | 0% | 45% | 75% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 33% | 38% | 32% | 13% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Inca Aruba | Home | Away | Isidro Metapán | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 78% | 88% | 64% | 63% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 44% | 63% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 22% | 13% | 36% | 38% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Inca Aruba | Isidro Metapán | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 14% |
| BTTS | 53% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Inca Aruba | Isidro Metapán | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 12% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 18% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 31 | |
| 2 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 31 | |
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 30 | |
| 4 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 27 | |
| 5 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | +8 | 26 | |
| 6 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +2 | 23 | |
| 7 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 22 | |
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 20 | |
| 9 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 16 | |
| 10 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 14 | |
| 11 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 12 | |
| 12 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
Team Insights
- ●Inca Aruba have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Inca Aruba's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Isidro Metapán have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Isidro Metapán have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Isidro Metapán have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Isidro Metapán failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●67% of Isidro Metapán's goals conceded were conceded away.