Nova Cidade vs Carapebus — Carioca - 2
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Nova Cidade and Carapebus meet in the Carioca - 2 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Nova Cidade have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Carapebus have won 0% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Nova Cidade and 1.11 for Carapebus. The models give Nova Cidade a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Carapebus win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Nova CidadeCarapebusHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nova Cidade | Home | Away | Carapebus | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 100% | 20% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 50% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 0% | 80% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Nova Cidade | Home | Away | Carapebus | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 75% | 80% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 75% | 20% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 25% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nova Cidade | Carapebus | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS | 44% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nova Cidade | Carapebus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 78% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 89% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 78% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Nova Cidade (H)
Macaé1–2
Campo Grande3–0
Goytacaz1–2
São Cristóvão RJ2–2
Friburguense1–0Campo Grande1–0Carapebus (A)
Petrópolis2–2
Serrano RJ0–3Macaé3–4
Artsul0–0Campo Grande0–1Campo Grande1–0Head to Head · 2 matches
Nova CidadeCarapebus| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Niteroiense | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Duque de Caxias | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Serrano RJ | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Goytacaz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 | Petrópolis | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 | Artsul | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | Campo Grande | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Macaé | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | São Cristóvão RJ | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Audax Rio | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 5 |
| 12 | Carapebus | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 2 |
Team Insights
Nova Cidade- ●Nova Cidade have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Nova Cidade have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Nova Cidade failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●88% of Nova Cidade's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Nova Cidade have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Carapebus- ●Carapebus have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Carapebus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Carapebus have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Carapebus have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carapebus have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carapebus have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Carapebus failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Carapebus have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Nova CidadeSerrano RJ0–1Macaé1–2Artsul1–1Campo Grande3–0Audax Rio0–0Goytacaz1–2Petrópolis31/10Carapebus07/11CarapebusPetrópolis2–2Goytacaz0–2Serrano RJ0–3Niteroiense1–3Macaé3–4São Cristóvão RJ0–1Audax Rio31/10Nova Cidade07/11Top Scorers
Nova CidadeCarapebusCards Given
Nova CidadeCarapebus