Welling United vs Carshalton Athletic — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Welling United and Carshalton Athletic meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Welling United have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Carshalton Athletic have won 35% of their 23 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.16 for Welling United and 1.26 for Carshalton Athletic. The models give Welling United a 58% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Carshalton Athletic win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Welling United—
Carshalton Athletic2º
Position
8º
2.08
PPG
1.47
69%
Win %
47%
2.00
Goals / game
1.53
1.15
Conceded / game
1.87
55%
BTTS %
61%
35%
Clean sheet %
17%
60%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Welling United
Home (7)
—
Carshalton Athletic
Away (8)
3.00
PPG
1.63
100%
Win %
50%
2.57
Goals / game
2.00
0.43
Conceded / game
2.13
50%
BTTS %
85%
50%
Clean sheet %
8%
60%
Over 2.5 %
77%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Welling United | Home | Away | Carshalton Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 80% | 78% | 60% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 80% | 20% | 52% | 40% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 10% | 13% | 10% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Welling United | Home | Away | Carshalton Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 50% | 80% | 83% | 70% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 30% | 60% | 57% | 40% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 22% | 20% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 50% | 20% | 17% | 30% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Welling United | Carshalton Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 17% |
| BTTS | 55% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Welling United | Carshalton Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Welling United (H)W
Burgess Hill Town4–2
Burgess Hill Town4–2W
Whyteleafe1–0
Whyteleafe1–0D
Chertsey Town2–2
Chertsey Town2–2W
Cheshunt2–0
Cheshunt2–0W
Wingate & Finchley4–1
Wingate & Finchley4–1W
Faversham Town2–1
Faversham Town2–1Carshalton Athletic (A)L
Aveley1–2
Aveley1–2LWingate & Finchley2–4
Wingate & Finchley2–4D
Dulwich Hamlet2–2
Dulwich Hamlet2–2W
Ramsgate3–2
Ramsgate3–2D
Southall2–2
Southall2–2W
Maldon & Tiptree3–2
Maldon & Tiptree3–2Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Welling United
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Carshalton Athletic
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
24/02/26Carshalton Athletic
Welling United
2–1Carshalton Athletic27/09/25Welling United
Carshalton Athletic
2–1Welling United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enfield Town | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | Welling United | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | +11 | 27 |
| 3 |  Lewes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 26 |
| 4 |  Chatham Town | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Dartford | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 24 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 |  Eastbourne Borough | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 22 |
| 8 | Carshalton Athletic | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 10 | Wingate & Finchley | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 11 | Dulwich Hamlet | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 |  St Albans City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 13 |  Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 | Whyteleafe | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Cheshunt | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | Aveley | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Maldon & Tiptree | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 14 |
| 18 |  Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 12 |
| 19 |  Brentwood Town | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 |  Three Bridges | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 21 |  Stanway Rovers | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 7 |
| 22 |  Whitehawk | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -20 | 6 |
Team Insights
Welling United- ●Welling United have won their last 7 home matches.
- ●Welling United have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Welling United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Welling United have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Welling United have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Welling United have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Welling United have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Welling United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Welling United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Welling United's points have been earned at home.
Carshalton Athletic- ●Carshalton Athletic have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●70% of Carshalton Athletic's goals have been scored away.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Welling UnitedLAChatham Town2–3
Chatham Town2–3WHBurgess Hill Town4–2
Burgess Hill Town4–2LAEastbourne Borough0–1
Eastbourne Borough0–1WAMaldon & Tiptree1–0
Maldon & Tiptree1–0WHWhyteleafe1–0
Whyteleafe1–0WHCheshunt2–0
Cheshunt2–0–HLeatherhead27/10
Leatherhead27/10–HCarshalton Athletic31/10
Carshalton Athletic31/10–ASt Albans City07/11
St Albans City07/11Carshalton AthleticLAWingate & Finchley2–4
Wingate & Finchley2–4DADulwich Hamlet2–2
Dulwich Hamlet2–2LHEnfield Town1–2
Enfield Town1–2LHSt Albans City0–1
St Albans City0–1LHEastbourne Borough0–4
Eastbourne Borough0–4WARamsgate3–2
Ramsgate3–2–AWelling United31/10
Welling United31/10–HCheshunt07/11
Cheshunt07/11–HAveley21/11
Aveley21/11Top Scorers
Welling UnitedN. Melvin-Lambert7 ⚽
D. Anyadike3 ⚽
F. Shomotun3 ⚽
R. Kingsford3 ⚽
3 ⚽
A. Azeez2 ⚽
Carshalton AthleticN. Young-Coombes9 ⚽
T. Fadahunsi3 ⚽
J. Jebb2 ⚽
W. Bratvedt2 ⚽
F. Saraiva2 ⚽
P. Kandolo2 ⚽
Cards Given
Welling UnitedL. Majoyegbe2 🟨
Carshalton AthleticR. Masampu2 🟨